CarMax (KMX)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 15 word markets on CarMax’s earnings calls since 2026, on 15 different words. Next call: Dec 17, 2026 (15 words listed).
| Word | Q3’25Dec '24 | Q4’25Apr '25 | Q1’26Jun '25 | Q2’26Sep '25 | Q3’26year ago | Q4’26Apr '26 | Q1’27Jun '26 | Q2’27last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPU | 1 time: GPU, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said | 3 times: GPU, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 3 times: GPU, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said | 5 times: GPU, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 0 times: GPU, Q3’26 Dec '25 | 2 times: GPU, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 12 times: GPU, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said | 18 times: GPU, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 6/875% | 35/8143% | 92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 72¢ Kalshi |
| Leverage | 10 times: Leverage, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said | 6 times: Leverage, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 7 times: Leverage, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said | 2 times: Leverage, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 2 times: Leverage, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 5 times: Leverage, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 8 times: Leverage, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said | 4 times: Leverage, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 66/8181% | 91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Logistics | 4 times: Logistics, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said | 4 times: Logistics, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 4 times: Logistics, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said | 0 times: Logistics, Q2’26 Sep '25 | 1 time: Logistics, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 6 times: Logistics, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 12 times: Logistics, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said | 2 times: Logistics, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 5/862% | 22/8127% | 89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 82¢ Kalshi |
| Conversion | 9 times: Conversion, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said | 2 times: Conversion, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Conversion, Q1’26 Jun '25 | 5 times: Conversion, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 2 times: Conversion, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 6 times: Conversion, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 5 times: Conversion, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said | 4 times: Conversion, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | steady | 7/888% | 7/888% | 65/8180% | 88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Loan Loss | 3 times: Loan Loss, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said | 2 times: Loan Loss, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: Loan Loss, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said | 1 time: Loan Loss, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 1 time: Loan Loss, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 2 times: Loan Loss, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Loan Loss, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said | 1 time: Loan Loss, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 62/8177% | 82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 72¢ Kalshi |
| Inventory3+ times | 5 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said | 7 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Inventory (3+ times), Q1’26 Jun '25, below the threshold | 18 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 4 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 10 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 8 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said | 8 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 1/812% | 67/8183% | 81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 80¢ Kalshi |
| Affordability | 0 times: Affordability, Q3’25 Dec '24 | 1 time: Affordability, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: Affordability, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said | 0 times: Affordability, Q2’26 Sep '25 | 1 time: Affordability, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 6 times: Affordability, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Affordability, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said | 1 time: Affordability, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 3/838% | 19/8123% | 79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 75¢ Kalshi |
| Reconditioning3+ times | 2 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q3’25 Dec '24, below the threshold | 7 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 7 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said | 0 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q2’26 Sep '25 | 6 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 6 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 16 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said | 3 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 3/838% | 19/8123% | 79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 80¢ Kalshi |
| Interest Rate | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q3’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q4’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q1’26 Jun '25 | 1 time: Interest Rate, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 2 times: Interest Rate, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q4’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Interest Rate, Q1’27 Jun '26 | 2 times: Interest Rate, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 1/812% | 31/8138% | 62%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 70¢ Kalshi |
| Shift into GEAR | 0 times: Shift into GEAR, Q3’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Shift into GEAR, Q4’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Shift into GEAR, Q1’26 Jun '25 | 0 times: Shift into GEAR, Q2’26 Sep '25 | 0 times: Shift into GEAR, Q3’26 Dec '25 | 0 times: Shift into GEAR, Q4’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Shift into GEAR, Q1’27 Jun '26 | 8 times: Shift into GEAR, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/811% | 59%transcripts from the transcript model | 86¢ Kalshi |
| Buyback / Buy Back | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’25 Apr '25 | 2 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’26 Sep '25 | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’26 Dec '25 | 1 time: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’27 Jun '26 | 1 time: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | steady | 3/838% | 2/825% | 21/8126% | 46%transcripts from the transcript model | 40¢ Kalshi |
| Acquisition Marketing | 0 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q3’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q4’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q1’26 Jun '25 | 0 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q2’26 Sep '25 | 1 time: Acquisition Marketing, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 3 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said | 0 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q2’27 Sep '26 | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 4/815% | 46%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 42¢ Kalshi |
| MaxCare / Max Care | 1 time: MaxCare / Max Care, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said | 0 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q4’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q1’26 Jun '25 | 0 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q2’26 Sep '25 | 2 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 2 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q1’27 Jun '26 | 0 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q2’27 Sep '26 | steady | 3/838% | 3/838% | 10/8112% | 38%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 45¢ Kalshi |
| AI Agentnever said | 0 times: AI Agent, Q3’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: AI Agent, Q4’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: AI Agent, Q1’26 Jun '25 | 0 times: AI Agent, Q2’26 Sep '25 | 0 times: AI Agent, Q3’26 Dec '25 | 0 times: AI Agent, Q4’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: AI Agent, Q1’27 Jun '26 | 0 times: AI Agent, Q2’27 Sep '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/810% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 34¢ Kalshi |
| Sierranever said | 0 times: Sierra, Q3’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Sierra, Q4’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Sierra, Q1’26 Jun '25 | 0 times: Sierra, Q2’26 Sep '25 | 0 times: Sierra, Q3’26 Dec '25 | 0 times: Sierra, Q4’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Sierra, Q1’27 Jun '26 | 0 times: Sierra, Q2’27 Sep '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/810% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 30¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Every word
1–2 of 2, most settled first| Word | Q3’25Dec '24 | Q4’25Apr '25 | Q1’26Jun '25 | Q2’26Sep '25 | Q3’26Dec '25 | Q4’26Apr '26 | Q1’27Jun '26 | Q2’27last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selection | 0 times: Selection, Q3’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Selection, Q4’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Selection, Q1’26 Jun '25 | 3 times: Selection, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 1 time: Selection, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 2 times: Selection, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 5 times: Selection, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said | 3 times: Selection, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 4/850% | 21/8126% | 80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Omnichannel | 6 times: Omnichannel, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said | 5 times: Omnichannel, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 3 times: Omnichannel, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said | 3 times: Omnichannel, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 3 times: Omnichannel, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 3 times: Omnichannel, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Omnichannel, Q1’27 Jun '26 | 0 times: Omnichannel, Q2’27 Sep '26 | falling | 6/875% | 6/875% | 31/8138% | 52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 15 of 15 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Earnings call FY27 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 15 | 10 yes · 5 no | 15/15 (100%) |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Earnings call FY27 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jun 21, 2024 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Dec 21, 2023 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “CarMax (KMX): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/KMX (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/carmax · words: /api/v1/history?entity=carmax · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP