CarMax (KMX)

EarningsTranscriptsUpdated

As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 15 word markets on CarMax’s earnings calls since 2026, on 15 different words. Next call: Dec 17, 2026 (15 words listed).

Next: Earnings call ·

15 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

CarMax: the words listed for Thu, Dec 17, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ3’25Dec '24Q4’25Apr '25Q1’26Jun '25Q2’26Sep '25Q3’26year agoQ4’26Apr '26Q1’27Jun '26Q2’27last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
GPU1 time: GPU, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said3 times: GPU, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said3 times: GPU, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said5 times: GPU, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said0 times: GPU, Q3’26 Dec '252 times: GPU, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said12 times: GPU, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said18 times: GPU, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidrising7/888%6/875%35/8143%92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts72¢ Kalshi
Leverage10 times: Leverage, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said6 times: Leverage, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said7 times: Leverage, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said2 times: Leverage, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said2 times: Leverage, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said5 times: Leverage, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said8 times: Leverage, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said4 times: Leverage, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%66/8181%91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts88¢ Kalshi
Logistics4 times: Logistics, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said4 times: Logistics, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said4 times: Logistics, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said0 times: Logistics, Q2’26 Sep '251 time: Logistics, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said6 times: Logistics, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said12 times: Logistics, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said2 times: Logistics, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidrising7/888%5/862%22/8127%89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts82¢ Kalshi
Conversion9 times: Conversion, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said2 times: Conversion, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said0 times: Conversion, Q1’26 Jun '255 times: Conversion, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said2 times: Conversion, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said6 times: Conversion, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said5 times: Conversion, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said4 times: Conversion, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidsteady7/888%7/888%65/8180%88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts88¢ Kalshi
Loan Loss3 times: Loan Loss, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said2 times: Loan Loss, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said2 times: Loan Loss, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said1 time: Loan Loss, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said1 time: Loan Loss, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said2 times: Loan Loss, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: Loan Loss, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said1 time: Loan Loss, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%62/8177%82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts72¢ Kalshi
Inventory3+ times5 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said7 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said1 time: Inventory (3+ times), Q1’26 Jun '25, below the threshold18 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said4 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said10 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said8 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said8 times: Inventory (3+ times), Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidrising7/888%1/812%67/8183%81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts80¢ Kalshi
Affordability0 times: Affordability, Q3’25 Dec '241 time: Affordability, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said2 times: Affordability, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said0 times: Affordability, Q2’26 Sep '251 time: Affordability, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said6 times: Affordability, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: Affordability, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said1 time: Affordability, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidrising6/875%3/838%19/8123%79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts75¢ Kalshi
Reconditioning3+ times2 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q3’25 Dec '24, below the threshold7 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said7 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said0 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q2’26 Sep '256 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said6 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said16 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said3 times: Reconditioning (3+ times), Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidrising6/875%3/838%19/8123%79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts80¢ Kalshi
Interest Rate0 times: Interest Rate, Q3’25 Dec '240 times: Interest Rate, Q4’25 Apr '250 times: Interest Rate, Q1’26 Jun '251 time: Interest Rate, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said2 times: Interest Rate, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said0 times: Interest Rate, Q4’26 Apr '260 times: Interest Rate, Q1’27 Jun '262 times: Interest Rate, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidrising3/838%1/812%31/8138%62%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts70¢ Kalshi
Shift into GEAR0 times: Shift into GEAR, Q3’25 Dec '240 times: Shift into GEAR, Q4’25 Apr '250 times: Shift into GEAR, Q1’26 Jun '250 times: Shift into GEAR, Q2’26 Sep '250 times: Shift into GEAR, Q3’26 Dec '250 times: Shift into GEAR, Q4’26 Apr '260 times: Shift into GEAR, Q1’27 Jun '268 times: Shift into GEAR, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidrising1/812%1/812%1/811%59%transcripts from the transcript model86¢ Kalshi
Buyback / Buy Back0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’25 Dec '240 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’25 Apr '252 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’26 Sep '250 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’26 Dec '251 time: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’27 Jun '261 time: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidsteady3/838%2/825%21/8126%46%transcripts from the transcript model40¢ Kalshi
Acquisition Marketing0 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q3’25 Dec '240 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q4’25 Apr '250 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q1’26 Jun '250 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q2’26 Sep '251 time: Acquisition Marketing, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said3 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said3 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said0 times: Acquisition Marketing, Q2’27 Sep '26rising3/838%2/825%4/815%46%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts42¢ Kalshi
MaxCare / Max Care1 time: MaxCare / Max Care, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said0 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q4’25 Apr '250 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q1’26 Jun '250 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q2’26 Sep '252 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said2 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q1’27 Jun '260 times: MaxCare / Max Care, Q2’27 Sep '26steady3/838%3/838%10/8112%38%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts45¢ Kalshi
AI Agentnever said0 times: AI Agent, Q3’25 Dec '240 times: AI Agent, Q4’25 Apr '250 times: AI Agent, Q1’26 Jun '250 times: AI Agent, Q2’26 Sep '250 times: AI Agent, Q3’26 Dec '250 times: AI Agent, Q4’26 Apr '260 times: AI Agent, Q1’27 Jun '260 times: AI Agent, Q2’27 Sep '26steady0/80%0/80%0/810%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts34¢ Kalshi
Sierranever said0 times: Sierra, Q3’25 Dec '240 times: Sierra, Q4’25 Apr '250 times: Sierra, Q1’26 Jun '250 times: Sierra, Q2’26 Sep '250 times: Sierra, Q3’26 Dec '250 times: Sierra, Q4’26 Apr '260 times: Sierra, Q1’27 Jun '260 times: Sierra, Q2’27 Sep '26steady0/80%0/80%0/810%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts30¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Every word

1–2 of 2, most settled first
CarMax: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ3’25Dec '24Q4’25Apr '25Q1’26Jun '25Q2’26Sep '25Q3’26Dec '25Q4’26Apr '26Q1’27Jun '26Q2’27last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
Selection0 times: Selection, Q3’25 Dec '240 times: Selection, Q4’25 Apr '250 times: Selection, Q1’26 Jun '253 times: Selection, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said1 time: Selection, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said2 times: Selection, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said5 times: Selection, Q1’27 Jun '26, counts as said3 times: Selection, Q2’27 Sep '26, counts as saidrising5/862%4/850%21/8126%80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Omnichannel6 times: Omnichannel, Q3’25 Dec '24, counts as said5 times: Omnichannel, Q4’25 Apr '25, counts as said3 times: Omnichannel, Q1’26 Jun '25, counts as said3 times: Omnichannel, Q2’26 Sep '25, counts as said3 times: Omnichannel, Q3’26 Dec '25, counts as said3 times: Omnichannel, Q4’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Omnichannel, Q1’27 Jun '260 times: Omnichannel, Q2’27 Sep '26falling6/875%6/875%31/8138%52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 15 of 15 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.

Citeparrot.markets, “CarMax (KMX): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/KMX (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/carmax · words: /api/v1/history?entity=carmax · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP