ABC World News Tonight, September 24, 2026
On the Sep 24, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 8 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China / Chinese / Xi | Yes | 24 | 24 | ✓ | 49%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 17 | 17 | ✓ | 52%n=53 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 9 | 9 | ✓ | 65%n=44 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 43%n=36 from settlement history | – |
| Navy / Lincoln | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| CNN / MS NOW / Politico | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| UN / United Nations | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 62%n=41 from settlement history | – |
| Six Flags | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sully / Sullenberger | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Macklemore / Ed Sheeran | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Fortnite | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Stanford | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| USDA / Department of Agriculture | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| OpenAI / Anthropic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation / Interest Rate | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…Also breaking the high-stakes summit at the White House, President Trump and China's President Xi. Did they discuss China's support for Iran in this war?
…of his renovations, his new helipad, saying President Xi loves good granite. The question tonight, did they discuss China's support for Iran in this war?
…networks did not participate in pool coverage today. Inside the White House, Trump declaring he and the Chinese leader, quote, have forged a friendship, a…
…over $1,300 a year. Before you renew your car insurance policy, do yourself a favor. Download the Jerry app or head to jerry.ai slash Lipson.
Tonight, the disturbing reporting that eight sailors, part of the USS Lincoln Carrier Group, reportedly attempting suicide during their record-long deployment during the war. Tonight,…
…thank you. Meantime, here in New York City, Iran's president addressing the UN General Assembly, Martha Raddatz, among a small group of journalists inside a…
…need to inspect? But claiming we are willing to have inspectors. With gas prices in the U.S. soaring to nearly $4.50 per gallon and diesel…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-24:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-24:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP