Mark Zuckerberg: Meta Connect keynote, Sep 23, 2026

At the keynote on Sep 23, 2026, Mark Zuckerberg said 10 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Muse Yes3366✓–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes911✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Agent / Agentic Yes618✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Superintelligence / Super Intelligence Yes68✓–new new word, no probability yet–
VR / Virtual Reality Yes616✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Ray-Ban Yes56✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Metaverse Yes22✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Privacy Yes22✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Oakley Yes12✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Quest Yes13✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Horizon No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Prada No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
OpenAI / ChatGPT No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Llama No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Open Source No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Captions · machine-attributed · Meta (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

2 matches for “Privacy”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker23:36

…personal Muse and the content on your glasses is, we designed state-of-the-art privacy and security into all these systems from the beginning. We built the…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker23:59

…won't be able to see that information. We have built several leading privacy features for glasses from the beginning as well, including the light that…

Where the listed words were said

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Muse” · 3:53

…are. And the centerpiece of our vision for what we're building is Muse. [audience cheering] This is the personal agent that we shipped a few…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“AI / Artificial Intelligence” · 14:44

…the coming years, most of these are going to get upgraded to AI glasses. We are excited about building other wearables too, uh, but we…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Agent / Agentic” · 1:28

…within reach. Soon, everyone is going to have an extremely capable personal agent that understands your goals and can work twenty-four/seven on your behalf to…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Superintelligence / Super Intelligence” · 2:30

…the source of prosperity in the world, that the highest purpose of superintelligence is creation and invention, not automation, and that the path to a…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“VR / Virtual Reality” · 38:26

…to focus a little bit less on metaverse for now, you know, build fewer VR devices and only release them when we have real breakthroughs.

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Ray-Ban” · 30:29

…calls. Audio glasses not only let us ship the thinnest pair of Ray-Ban Metas that we have ever shipped, we've also been able to refactor…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Metaverse” · 15:26

…when we started building glasses, we thought at the time that the metaverse, this idea of bringing the physical and digital worlds together, we thought…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Oakley” · 37:47

…can choose from some of the most iconic looks from Ray-Ban and Oakley, including now the Clubmaster and Aviator. And there is a range of…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Quest” · 40:17

the weight of Meta Quest 3, which is already much lighter than Vision Pro. [applause] To put it in perspective, a hundred grams is about…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mark-zuckerberg:2026-09-23:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mark-zuckerberg:2026-09-23:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP