Will Mark Zuckerberg say “Oakley”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Zuckerberg said “Oakley” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 23, 2026.

In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Sep 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only).

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Mark Zuckerberg

Oakley

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 1 transcript
said in 1 of 1

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Mark Zuckerberg say during Meta Connect keynote? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker37:47In transcript

…can choose from some of the most iconic looks from Ray-Ban and Oakley, including now the Clubmaster and Aviator. And there is a range of…

Nina Marie Daniele packageother21:51In transcript

Uh, so Muse, on her Oakley Metas, helped her out. So check this out. [upbeat music] Hey, everyone. I'm using Muse for the next 30…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

What will Zuck say during the TBPN Podcast? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 23, 2026OakleyKalshiYes1

Questions

How often does Mark Zuckerberg say “Oakley”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Mark Zuckerberg said “Oakley” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 23, 2026.
What is the probability Mark Zuckerberg says “Oakley” next time?
77%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Zuckerberg: ‘Oakley’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/mark-zuckerberg/words/oakley (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-zuckerberg&word=oakley · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-zuckerberg&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP