Will Mark Zuckerberg say “OpenAI / ChatGPT”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Mark Zuckerberg did not say “OpenAI / ChatGPT” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 23, 2026.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Sep 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mark Zuckerberg
OpenAI / ChatGPT
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | OpenAI / ChatGPT |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Mark Zuckerberg say “OpenAI / ChatGPT”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Mark Zuckerberg did not say “OpenAI / ChatGPT” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Mark Zuckerberg says “OpenAI / ChatGPT” next time?
- 20%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Zuckerberg: ‘OpenAI / ChatGPT’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/mark-zuckerberg/words/chatgpt-or-openai (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-zuckerberg&word=chatgpt%20%2F%20openai · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-zuckerberg&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP