Will Mark Zuckerberg say “Open Source”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Mark Zuckerberg did not say “Open Source” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 18% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
In the one transcript we have (1 keynote; Sep 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only).
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Mark Zuckerberg
Open Source
- Probability
- 18% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 1 transcript
- said in 0 of 1
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Open Source |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Open Source | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Mark Zuckerberg say “Open Source”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Mark Zuckerberg did not say “Open Source” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Mark Zuckerberg says “Open Source” next time?
- 18%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Mark Zuckerberg: ‘Open Source’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/mark-zuckerberg/words/open-source (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mark-zuckerberg&word=open%20source · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mark-zuckerberg&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP