Mark Zuckerberg: Meta Connect keynote, Sep 23, 2026

At the keynote on Sep 23, 2026, Mark Zuckerberg said 10 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Muse Yes3366✓–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes911✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Agent / Agentic Yes618✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Superintelligence / Super Intelligence Yes68✓–new new word, no probability yet–
VR / Virtual Reality Yes616✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Ray-Ban Yes56✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Metaverse Yes22✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Privacy Yes22✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Oakley Yes12✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Quest Yes13✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Horizon No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Prada No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
OpenAI / ChatGPT No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Llama No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Open Source No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Captions · machine-attributed · Meta (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

Where the listed words were said

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Muse” · 3:53

…are. And the centerpiece of our vision for what we're building is Muse. [audience cheering] This is the personal agent that we shipped a few…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“AI / Artificial Intelligence” · 14:44

…the coming years, most of these are going to get upgraded to AI glasses. We are excited about building other wearables too, uh, but we…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Agent / Agentic” · 1:28

…within reach. Soon, everyone is going to have an extremely capable personal agent that understands your goals and can work twenty-four/seven on your behalf to…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Superintelligence / Super Intelligence” · 2:30

…the source of prosperity in the world, that the highest purpose of superintelligence is creation and invention, not automation, and that the path to a…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“VR / Virtual Reality” · 38:26

…to focus a little bit less on metaverse for now, you know, build fewer VR devices and only release them when we have real breakthroughs.

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Ray-Ban” · 30:29

…calls. Audio glasses not only let us ship the thinnest pair of Ray-Ban Metas that we have ever shipped, we've also been able to refactor…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Metaverse” · 15:26

…when we started building glasses, we thought at the time that the metaverse, this idea of bringing the physical and digital worlds together, we thought…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Privacy” · 23:36

…personal Muse and the content on your glasses is, we designed state-of-the-art privacy and security into all these systems from the beginning. We built the…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Oakley” · 37:47

…can choose from some of the most iconic looks from Ray-Ban and Oakley, including now the Clubmaster and Aviator. And there is a range of…

Mark Zuckerbergspeaker“Quest” · 40:17

the weight of Meta Quest 3, which is already much lighter than Vision Pro. [applause] To put it in perspective, a hundred grams is about…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mark-zuckerberg:2026-09-23:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mark-zuckerberg:2026-09-23:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP