Starbucks (SBUX): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026

Wed, Jul 29Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptStarbucks

On its Jul 29, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), Starbucks said 8 of the 19 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 19 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

19 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 19 of 19

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Tariff Yes67✓82%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 21:02, Tariff–
Comparable Sales Yes22✓60%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 4:08, Comparable Sales–
S'more Yes22✓15%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 9:59, S'more–
Smart Queue / SmartQ Yes11✓76%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 6:32, Smart Queue / SmartQ–
Loyalty Yes11✓62%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 52:15, Loyalty–
Matcha Yes11✓58%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 33:20, Matcha–
Canada Yes11✓44%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 4:38, Canada–
Frappuccino Yes11✓28%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:25, Frappuccino–
Protein No00✓90%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Boyu No00✓60%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Promotion No00✓43%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Condiment Bar No00✓37%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No00✓37%transcripts from the transcript model–
Non Dairy No00✓33%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Horchata No00✓19%transcripts from the transcript model–
World Cup No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–
Oatmilk / Oat Milk No00✓13%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Recycle / Recyclable No00✓11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Union No00✓10%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

0 matches for “Smart Queue / SmartQ”.

Where the listed words were said

Cathy Smithcompany“Tariff” · prepared · 21:04Hear it 20:58, Cathy Smith

…our cost savings efforts, as well as lower inflation paired with reciprocal tariff refunds. The refunds we received in Q3 largely offset related tariffs incurred…

Brian Niccolcompany“Comparable Sales” · prepared · 4:10Hear it 4:08, Brian Niccol

…$0.85. North America continued to lead our performance in the quarter. Company-operated comparable sales increased 8.1%, licensed coffeehouse net revenues were roughly flat despite net…

Brian Niccolcompany“S'more” · prepared · 10:01Hear it 9:57, Brian Niccol

…subsequent weeks. In the U.S., we also provided Starbucks Rewards members early access to our S'mores coffee lineup, highlighting the value of being a member.

Brian Niccolcompany“Smart Queue / SmartQ” · prepared · 6:34Hear it 6:34, Brian Niccol

…last October. We're also getting sharper in how our coffeehouse is run. Smart Queue is getting smarter as we optimize for greater accuracy and speed.…

Brian Niccolcompany“Loyalty” · qa · 52:17Hear it 52:11, Brian Niccol

…where we believe we can drive transactions, drive the brand, build that loyalty and love, and make sure people understand what Starbucks stands for. I…

Cathy Smithcompany“Matcha” · qa · 33:22Hear it 33:17, Cathy Smith

…say that because that gives us a great platform along with our matcha menu for the afternoon. You add on some of the tests we've…

Brian Niccolcompany“Canada” · prepared · 4:40Hear it 4:39, Brian Niccol

…comps were up 7.9%, driven by balanced transaction and ticket growth. In Canada, comps were even stronger. International company-operated comparable sales grew 5.7%, driven by…

Brian Niccolcompany“Frappuccino” · prepared · 12:27Hear it 12:21, Brian Niccol

…with a strong menu lineup that includes blended refreshers, our legendary Unicorn Frappuccino, and new orange cream beverages. We'll begin testing sparkling beverages in select…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/starbucks:2026-07-29:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=starbucks:2026-07-29:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP