Ford (F): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 28, 2026

Tue, Jul 28Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptFord

On its Jul 28, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Ford said 10 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 14 of 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Recall / Recalled Yes1212✓73%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 5:28, Recall / Recalled–
Electric vehicle / EV Yes55✓95%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 8:47, Electric vehicle / EV–
Tariff Yes57✓93%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 11:57, Tariff–
Apple Yes56✓15%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 9:35, Apple–
Headwind Yes46✓88%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 17:46, Headwind–
Oakville Yes44✓48%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 2:56, Oakville–
Iran / Middle East Yes11✓56%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 21:44, Iran / Middle East–
Tailwind Yes11✓55%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 51:40, Tailwind–
Market Share Yes11✓50%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 8:04, Market Share–
Geely Yes11✓28%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 9:53, Geely–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No11✗60%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:12, AI / Artificial Intelligence–
China No00✓73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Skunk Works No00✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–
Subsidy / Subsidized No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Autonomy / Autonomous No00✓28%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

6 matches for “USMCA”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Jim Farleycompanyprepared · 3:05Hear it 3:02, Jim Farley

…important to our future at Ford. This agreement also underscores how important USMCA is to our future at Ford, and the opportunity we have to…

Mark Delaneyanalystqa · 33:24Hear it 33:23, Mark Delaney

…to further mitigate that going forward. You also spoke a bit on USMCA. Jim, curious if you have any early thoughts around how the discussions…

Jim Farleycompanyqa · 33:43Hear it 33:41, Jim Farley

Sure. Well, let me just comment on USMCA because it's very critical. Look, Ford is an unusual company in a way. We build the most…

Jim Farleycompanyqa · 34:32Hear it 34:30, Jim Farley

…have the same kind of principle, which is build a stronger U.S. industrial base. Our orientation for USMCA is maybe a bit different than others.

Jim Farleycompanyqa · 35:08Hear it 35:04, Jim Farley

…and they have huge advantages. We are prepared to support revising the USMCA, long as it allows the promotion of more competitive U.S. auto sector,…

Where the listed words were said

Jim Farleycompany“Recall / Recalled” · prepared · 5:30Hear it 5:24, Jim Farley

…initial quality to long-term durability, lowering our warranty costs even further, fewer recalls, stronger customer loyalty, more pricing power, and for our conquest and growth,…

Jim Farleycompany“Electric vehicle / EV” · prepared · 8:49Hear it 8:43, Jim Farley

…performance. Turning to Model e, we're aggressively driving down Gen-1 costs and will become a major scaled competitor as we invest in affordable, versatile EVs.

Jim Farleycompany“Tariff” · prepared · 11:59Hear it 11:59, Jim Farley

Tariff resilient, world-class U.S. manufacturing, leading battery technology, an iconic American brand that is already familiar to communities who are most in need for grid…

Jim Farleycompany“Apple” · prepared · 9:37Hear it 9:35, Jim Farley

…drive, and personalized technology in the experience. In fact, we just announced Apple last week, as you know, will be the embedded map provider for…

Sherry Housecompany“Headwind” · prepared · 17:48Hear it 17:43, Sherry House

…our most profitable channels. Ford Pro delivered a solid quarter despite significant headwinds, delivering $1.7 billion in EBIT on $17.8 billion of revenue, down 26%…

Jim Farleycompany“Oakville” · prepared · 8:11Hear it 8:11, Jim Farley

…commercial vehicle market share leadership in both North America and Europe. The Oakville expansion I referred to earlier is on track to launch in the…

Sherry Housecompany“Iran / Middle East” · prepared · 21:46Hear it 21:40, Sherry House

…guidance does not include potential impacts of a significant escalation in the Middle East or a material downturn in the U.S. economy, which could have…

Sherry Housecompany“Tailwind” · qa · 51:42Hear it 51:36, Sherry House

…start to see a little bit of softening, that would be a tailwind. In short, you see a company more efficient, more durable, and fitter,…

Jim Farleycompany“Geely” · prepared · 9:55Hear it 9:50, Jim Farley

In Europe, as you saw last week, we announced our agreement with Geely, which will bring speed and capital efficiency to our European operations. The…

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