Will Ford say “Iran / Middle East”?

Ford said “Iran / Middle East” 1 time on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 5, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Ford said “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

66%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
65¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Ford

Iran / Middle East

Probability
66% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Sherry Housecompanyprepared · 21:46Hear it 21:40, Sherry House In transcript

…guidance does not include potential impacts of a significant escalation in the Middle East or a material downturn in the U.S. economy, which could have…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Jim FarleycompanypreparedIn transcript

…resilient in the face of global uncertainty regarding the conflict in the Middle East. Of course, our priority is our team and the safety of…

Sherry HousecompanypreparedIn transcript

…does not include the potential impacts of a sustained conflict in the Middle East or a significant downturn in the U.S. economy, which could have…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 10, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 23, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Andrew FrickcompanypreparedIn transcript

…gains in key markets such as Canada, Europe, South America and the Middle East. China remains a strategic export hub, especially for growth nameplates like…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 5, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 5, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 28, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 28, 2026Iran / Middle EastKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Ford say “Iran / Middle East” on its last earnings call?
Ford said “Iran / Middle East” 1 time on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 5, 1 times.
How often does Ford say “Iran / Middle East”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Ford said “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 28, 2026.
What is the probability Ford says “Iran / Middle East” next time?
66%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Ford: ‘Iran / Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/F/words/iran-or-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ford&word=iran%20%2F%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ford&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP