Will Ford say “Headwind”?
Ford said “Headwind” 4 times on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 5, 2, 1, 4, 12, 2, 2, 4 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Ford said “Headwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 91% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 90¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Ford
Headwind
- Probability
- 91% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…our most profitable channels. Ford Pro delivered a solid quarter despite significant headwinds, delivering $1.7 billion in EBIT on $17.8 billion of revenue, down 26%…
…continues to assume a U.S. SAAR of 16 million-16.5 million units, commodity headwinds of just above $2 billion, and we remain on track to deliver…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…the same way we have navigated the pandemic, the semiconductor shortage, tariff headwinds, and others. We have the muscle memory to find cost offsets, adjust…
…have the $1.3 billion one-time IEEPA tariff benefit. We now expect commodity headwinds of just above $2 billion, about $1 billion higher than our previous…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
…of adjusted EBIT for the full year. This includes a $2 billion headwind for Novelis fires and the net tariff impact of $2 billion. That's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Headwind |  Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How many times did Ford say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
- Ford said “Headwind” 4 times on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 5, 2, 1, 4, 12, 2, 2, 4 times.
- How often does Ford say “Headwind”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, Ford said “Headwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Ford says “Headwind” next time?
- 91%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Ford: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/F/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ford&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ford&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP