Ford (F)

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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 30 word markets on Ford’s earnings calls since 2025, on 28 different words. Next call: Oct 28, 2026 (16 words listed).

“Tariff” on the Jul 28 call · 11:59 · said 5 times. Play the clip

Next: Earnings call ·

16 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

Ford: the words listed for Wed, Oct 28, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ3’24Oct '24Q4’24Feb '25Q1’25May '25Q2’25Jul '25Q3’25year agoQ4’25Feb '26Q1’26Apr '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
Tariff0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Oct '249 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said41 times: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said23 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said26 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said14 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said8 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said5 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady7/888%7/888%17/8021%94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts93¢ Kalshi
Headwind5 times: Headwind, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said2 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said1 time: Headwind, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said4 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said12 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said2 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said4 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%6/875%47/8059%91%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts90¢ Kalshi
Recall / Recalled0 times: Recall / Recalled, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Recall / Recalled, Q4’24 Feb '251 time: Recall / Recalled, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said11 times: Recall / Recalled, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said5 times: Recall / Recalled, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said2 times: Recall / Recalled, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Recall / Recalled, Q1’26 Apr '2612 times: Recall / Recalled, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising5/862%5/862%33/8041%85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts70¢ Kalshi
Electric vehicle / EV3+ times25 times: Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times), Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said22 times: Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times), Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said5 times: Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times), Q1’25 May '25, counts as said24 times: Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times), Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said9 times: Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times), Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said16 times: Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times), Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said8 times: Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said5 times: Electric vehicle / EV (3+ times), Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%7/888%32/8040%83%transcripts from the transcript model93¢ Kalshi
Novelis3+ times0 times: Novelis (3+ times), Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Novelis (3+ times), Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Novelis (3+ times), Q1’25 May '250 times: Novelis (3+ times), Q2’25 Jul '2517 times: Novelis (3+ times), Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said14 times: Novelis (3+ times), Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said18 times: Novelis (3+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said11 times: Novelis (3+ times), Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising4/850%4/850%4/805%79%transcripts from the transcript model76¢ Kalshi
Oakville0 times: Oakville, Q3’24 Oct '241 time: Oakville, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Oakville, Q1’25 May '250 times: Oakville, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Oakville, Q3’25 Oct '251 time: Oakville, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: Oakville, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said4 times: Oakville, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising4/850%3/838%8/8010%71%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts71¢ Kalshi
BlueCruise0 times: BlueCruise, Q3’24 Oct '244 times: BlueCruise, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said5 times: BlueCruise, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said2 times: BlueCruise, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: BlueCruise, Q3’25 Oct '251 time: BlueCruise, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: BlueCruise, Q1’26 Apr '267 times: BlueCruise, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising5/862%1/812%17/8021%69%transcripts from the transcript model59¢ Kalshi
Tailwind2 times: Tailwind, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said0 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 May '253 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said2 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said2 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Apr '261 time: Tailwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady5/862%1/812%21/8026%69%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts53¢ Kalshi
Iran / Middle East0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 May '251 time: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Feb '265 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising3/838%3/838%22/8028%66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts64¢ Kalshi
Market Share1 time: Market Share, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said0 times: Market Share, Q4’24 Feb '251 time: Market Share, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said2 times: Market Share, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Market Share, Q3’25 Oct '253 times: Market Share, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Market Share, Q1’26 Apr '261 time: Market Share, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady5/862%4/850%59/8074%66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts70¢ Kalshi
Apple0 times: Apple, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Apple, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Apple, Q1’25 May '250 times: Apple, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Apple, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Apple, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Apple, Q1’26 Apr '265 times: Apple, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising1/812%1/812%9/8011%58%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts66¢ Kalshi
USMCA0 times: USMCA, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: USMCA, Q4’24 Feb '253 times: USMCA, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said1 time: USMCA, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: USMCA, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: USMCA, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: USMCA, Q1’26 Apr '265 times: USMCA, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising3/838%2/825%4/805%57%transcripts from the transcript model58¢ Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’24 Oct '241 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said4 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Feb '261 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady6/875%5/862%29/8036%54%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts38¢ Kalshi
China9 times: China, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said2 times: China, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said5 times: China, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said3 times: China, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: China, Q3’25 Oct '251 time: China, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said2 times: China, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: China, Q2’26 Jul '26falling6/875%4/850%72/8090%45%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts36¢ Kalshi
Geely0 times: Geely, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Geely, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Geely, Q1’25 May '251 time: Geely, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Geely, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Geely, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Geely, Q1’26 Apr '261 time: Geely, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising2/825%1/812%8/8010%43%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts51¢ Kalshi
Autonomy / Autonomous0 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q3’24 Oct '242 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q1’25 May '251 time: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Autonomy / Autonomous, Q2’26 Jul '26falling2/825%0/80%32/8040%17%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts20¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 16:04 UTC.

Every word

1–16 of 16, most settled first
Ford: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ3’24Oct '24Q4’24Feb '25Q1’25May '25Q2’25Jul '25Q3’25Oct '25Q4’25Feb '26Q1’26Apr '26Q2’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
Electric vehicle / EV25 times: Electric vehicle / EV, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said22 times: Electric vehicle / EV, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said5 times: Electric vehicle / EV, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said24 times: Electric vehicle / EV, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said9 times: Electric vehicle / EV, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said16 times: Electric vehicle / EV, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said8 times: Electric vehicle / EV, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said5 times: Electric vehicle / EV, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%40/8050%95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Dealer8 times: Dealer, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said4 times: Dealer, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said6 times: Dealer, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said6 times: Dealer, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said3 times: Dealer, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said4 times: Dealer, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said8 times: Dealer, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said4 times: Dealer, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady8/8100%7/888%69/8086%90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Fleet0 times: Fleet, Q3’24 Oct '243 times: Fleet, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said3 times: Fleet, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said12 times: Fleet, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said9 times: Fleet, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said1 time: Fleet, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said8 times: Fleet, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: Fleet, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising7/888%7/888%61/8076%87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Mach-E4 times: Mach-E, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said1 time: Mach-E, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said2 times: Mach-E, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said0 times: Mach-E, Q2’25 Jul '251 time: Mach-E, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said0 times: Mach-E, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Mach-E, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Mach-E, Q2’26 Jul '26falling4/850%2/825%23/8029%37%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Pricing17 times: Pricing, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said17 times: Pricing, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said27 times: Pricing, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said13 times: Pricing, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said15 times: Pricing, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said5 times: Pricing, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said4 times: Pricing, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said11 times: Pricing, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%8/8100%75/8094%93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Autonomous0 times: Autonomous, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Autonomous, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Autonomous, Q1’25 May '251 time: Autonomous, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Autonomous, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Autonomous, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Autonomous, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Autonomous, Q2’26 Jul '26steady1/812%0/80%29/8036%17%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Battery production0 times: Battery production, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Battery production, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Battery production, Q1’25 May '250 times: Battery production, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Battery production, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Battery production, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Battery production, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Battery production, Q2’26 Jul '26steady0/80%0/80%4/805%14%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
BlueOval0 times: BlueOval, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: BlueOval, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: BlueOval, Q1’25 May '250 times: BlueOval, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: BlueOval, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: BlueOval, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: BlueOval, Q1’26 Apr '261 time: BlueOval, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidrising1/812%1/812%12/8015%29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Charging1 time: Charging, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said1 time: Charging, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Charging, Q1’25 May '250 times: Charging, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Charging, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Charging, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Charging, Q1’26 Apr '261 time: Charging, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as saidsteady3/838%3/838%14/8018%35%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
F-150 Lightning0 times: F-150 Lightning, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: F-150 Lightning, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: F-150 Lightning, Q1’25 May '250 times: F-150 Lightning, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: F-150 Lightning, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: F-150 Lightning, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: F-150 Lightning, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: F-150 Lightning, Q2’26 Jul '26steady0/80%0/80%9/8011%14%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Inflation Reduction Act0 times: Inflation Reduction Act, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Inflation Reduction Act, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Inflation Reduction Act, Q1’25 May '250 times: Inflation Reduction Act, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Inflation Reduction Act, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Inflation Reduction Act, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Inflation Reduction Act, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Inflation Reduction Act, Q2’26 Jul '26steady0/80%0/80%1/801%14%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Mustang3 times: Mustang, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said0 times: Mustang, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Mustang, Q1’25 May '250 times: Mustang, Q2’25 Jul '251 time: Mustang, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said1 time: Mustang, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Mustang, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Mustang, Q2’26 Jul '26falling3/838%3/838%51/8064%33%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Skunk Works2 times: Skunk Works, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said2 times: Skunk Works, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said1 time: Skunk Works, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said1 time: Skunk Works, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Skunk Works, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Skunk Works, Q4’25 Feb '262 times: Skunk Works, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Skunk Works, Q2’26 Jul '26falling5/862%1/812%7/809%34%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Subsidy / Subsidized0 times: Subsidy / Subsidized, Q3’24 Oct '242 times: Subsidy / Subsidized, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Subsidy / Subsidized, Q1’25 May '250 times: Subsidy / Subsidized, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Subsidy / Subsidized, Q3’25 Oct '252 times: Subsidy / Subsidized, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Subsidy / Subsidized, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Subsidy / Subsidized, Q2’26 Jul '26steady2/825%0/80%5/806%28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Subsidy0 times: Subsidy, Q3’24 Oct '242 times: Subsidy, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said0 times: Subsidy, Q1’25 May '250 times: Subsidy, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Subsidy, Q3’25 Oct '251 time: Subsidy, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said0 times: Subsidy, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Subsidy, Q2’26 Jul '26falling2/825%0/80%4/805%26%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Union0 times: Union, Q3’24 Oct '240 times: Union, Q4’24 Feb '250 times: Union, Q1’25 May '250 times: Union, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Union, Q3’25 Oct '250 times: Union, Q4’25 Feb '260 times: Union, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Union, Q2’26 Jul '26steady0/80%0/80%16/8020%14%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 29 of 30 settled words resolved (96.7%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Jul 28, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript1510 yes · 5 no14/15 (93%)
Apr 29, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Feb 10, 2026Earnings call FY25 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Oct 23, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jul 30, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
May 5, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript156 yes · 9 no15/15 (100%)
Feb 5, 2025Earnings call FY24 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Oct 28, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jul 24, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Apr 24, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Feb 6, 2024Earnings call FY23 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Oct 27, 2023Earnings call FY23 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––

Citeparrot.markets, “Ford (F): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/F (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/ford · words: /api/v1/history?entity=ford · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP