Will Ford say “China”?

Ford did not say “China” on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 9, 2, 5, 3, 0, 1, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Ford said “China” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2025 (50%), most recently on May 5, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

45%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
36¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Ford

China

Probability
45% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 28, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Jim FarleycompanyqaIn transcript

…economic vitality, it's also national security as a country. When we see China and Japan and South Korea, they've really prioritized their domestic auto industry…

Jim FarleycompanyqaIn transcript

…U.S. industry itself, we are extremely protective, as we should be, like China, South Korea, and Japan are. What that means in specific policies, that…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 10, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Jim FarleycompanyqaIn transcript

…for Ranger, our body on frame, and our growing export business from China will be opportunistic based on that customer in Australia, or South Africa…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 23, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 30, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Andrew FrickcompanypreparedIn transcript

…key markets such as Canada, Europe, South America and the Middle East. China remains a strategic export hub, especially for growth nameplates like Territory and…

James Duncan FarleycompanyqaIn transcript

…as the Chinese OEMs go global and start to localize outside of China, and they'll pick the regions and the regions will pick them. So…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 5, 2025 · said 5 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 5, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 28, 2024 · said 9 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 28, 2026ChinaKalshiNo0
May 5, 2025ChinaKalshiYes5

Questions

How many times did Ford say “China” on its last earnings call?
Ford did not say “China” on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 9, 2, 5, 3, 0, 1, 2, 0 times.
How often does Ford say “China”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Ford said “China” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2025 (50%), most recently on May 5, 2025.
What is the probability Ford says “China” next time?
45%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Ford: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/F/words/china (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=ford&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=ford&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP