Face the Nation (CBS), July 12, 2026
On the Jul 12, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 0 of the 12 words Kalshi listed were said. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).
Updated
Markets
12 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanctuary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Security | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democrat | No | 55%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Accountable / Accountability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Criminal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vehicle / Car | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Investigation / Investigate | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Body Camera / Body Cam | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Houston | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
7 matches for “National Security”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…With his signature Southern twang, he was a singular voice on U.S. national security and an advocate for Ukraine. Graham had just returned from Kyiv,…
…thing for the future of this alliance, that you cannot reduce your national security apparatus with military power, economic statecraft, political persuasion, and cultural attraction,…
…country of nine million people. You can't just kill your way out of solving every single national security problem that you have. (END VIDEO CLIP)
Diplomacy, political strategy, is dormant as a part of Israel's national security.
That's in your national security interest that doesn't require the military.
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