Will “National Security” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “National Security” was not said on Face the Nation in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
National Security
- Probability
- 40% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to protect their oil infrastructure. I see there was a gathering of national security advisers at Camp David on Friday to talk about Iran and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
He's been charged with endangering national security, and that's all we know.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…essential to our war effort. And, beyond a moral obligation, it's a national security imperative. If we want to go someplace in the world and…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | National Security |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | National Security | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
| Jan 19, 2026 | National Security | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “National Security” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “National Security” was not said on Face the Nation in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026.
- What is the probability “National Security” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘National Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/national-security (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=national%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP