Face the Nation (CBS), July 12, 2026
On the Jul 12, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 0 of the 12 words Kalshi listed were said. The transcript is searchable below (quotes of at most 25 words).
Updated
Markets
12 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanctuary | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| National Security | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democrat | No | 55%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 54%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deported / Deportation | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Accountable / Accountability | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Criminal | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vehicle / Car | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Investigation / Investigate | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Body Camera / Body Cam | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Houston | No | 34%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Mask / Masked | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
6 matches for “Election”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…August to pick Graham's replacement on the ballot ahead of the general election in November. We go now to South Carolina Republican Senator Tim Scott.…
…going to change – they want states to change the way that elections are conducted or, if states refuse, they'll lose millions in federal terrorism…
…I'm not really familiar with this announcement. I, you know, obviously they're disconcerting Congress of federal intervention on the election side, on the state side.
You're how many days until the midterm elections at this point? That's not really practical.
Well, non-citizens can't vote in federal elections. That became law in 1996.
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