TBPN: Episode, May 29, 2026
On the May 29, 2026 episode of TBPN, 2 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VC / Venture | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 1 | 88 | ✓ | 62%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Kalshi | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| LeBron | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Anthropic / Claude | No | 0 | 18 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Final | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Giannis | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Laker | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Perp / Perpetual | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pratt | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 0 | 13 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPublisher transcript · TBPN podcast transcript (publisher RSS) · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
0 matches for “VC / Venture”.
Where the listed words were said
…you know, type of access and like get in with the whole VC and the tech space with everything and, you know, we can only…
…this, like, day and age when, you know, you think about a AI and, you know, everybody thinks, oh, you're going to lose your jobs…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/tbpn:2026-05-29:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=tbpn:2026-05-29:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP