John Deere (DE): FY26 Q2 earnings call, May 21, 2026

On its May 21, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), John Deere said 5 of the 11 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

11 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Tariff Yes4246✓95%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Automation Yes44✓85%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Manufacturing Yes33✓43%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Yes33✓29%transcripts from the transcript model–
Dividend Yes11✓67%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Efficiency No00✓73%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Warranty No00✓71%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No00✓48%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Weather No00✓36%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Middle East No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Precision Upgrade No00✓16%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Dividend”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Brent Norwoodcompanyprepared

…returned $635 million to shareholders through a combination of share repurchases and dividends, reflecting both the strength of our financial performance and our confidence in…

Where the listed words were said

Chris Seibertcompany“Tariff” · prepared

…quarterly results also benefited from recording a recovery for refund claims relating to IEEPA tariffs, which we'll discuss in more detail later in the call.

Josh Bealcompany“Automation” · prepared

…calibration from the cab while on the go, and also through downforce automation, which is enabled by our recently released FurrowVision technology. When these furrow…

Brent Norwoodcompany“Manufacturing” · prepared

…of John Deere's U.S. complete good sales are produced at our U.S. manufacturing facilities, and roughly 75% of those components used at those facilities are…

Chris Seibertcompany“Oil / Gas / Gasoline” · prepared

…the conflict in Iran and the associated inflationary impact on products like oil and fertilizer. Considering that in your response, can you provide an update…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/john-deere:2026-05-21:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=john-deere:2026-05-21:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP