Rivian (RIVN): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026
On its Apr 30, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Rivian said 8 of the 11 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | Yes | 16 | 20 | ✓ | 90%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Robotaxi | Yes | 10 | 13 | ✓ | 43%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Uber | Yes | 8 | 15 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Amazon | Yes | 6 | 8 | ✓ | 70%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 88%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 73%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Battery | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 76%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tornado | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Headwind | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 49%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tailwind | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 37%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Cox | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
8 matches for “Volkswagen”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…of software and services revenue, was attributable to our joint venture with Volkswagen Group. We also experienced strong growth from remarketing and parts and service.…
Today, we received $1 billion from Volkswagen Group in exchange for equity following successful completion of the winter testing milestone by RV Tech. The testing…
…this year, we expect to receive $1 billion in non-recourse debt from Volkswagen Group and an additional $250 million from Uber in exchange for equity,…
…ABL facility, and then the expected capital from our partners, with both Volkswagen and Uber, that we expect to receive over the coming years as…
It's also the basis of our relationship that we forged with Volkswagen Group to deploy that technology. The first application of that technology being deployed…
Where the listed words were said
…with the U.S. Department of Energy to grow our manufacturing footprint in Georgia. R2 provides the opportunity to expand the Rivian brand to millions of…
…we'll have our first deployments of a Level 4 capability in a robotaxi. In the robotaxi variant, there will be some additional sensing on the…
…Turning to our technology roadmap, in March, we were excited to announce a new strategic partnership with Uber to accelerate our shared autonomous vehicle goals.
Yeah, our relationship with Amazon continues to be something that we're very proud of. We've spent a lot of time on this program, from its…
We did not book anything this quarter associated with IEPA tariffs, we do believe that we the recovery of those IEPA tariffs is possible in…
…Robotics from our financial statements. We currently own approximately 38% of Mind Robotics on a shares outstanding basis. Looking at our balance sheet, we ended…
…eliminations and reductions through the introduction of large die castings, a structural battery pack, a new highly efficient drive unit, the evolution of our next-generation…
…certain conditions. Two weeks ago, our Normal factory sustained damage from a tornado. I'm proud of the way our teams have rallied together to get…
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