Rivian (RIVN)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 11 word markets on Rivian’s earnings calls since 2026, on 11 different words. Next call: Oct 29, 2026 (12 words listed).
Next: Earnings call ·
12 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 2 times: Georgia, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 3 times: Georgia, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 4 times: Georgia, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 8 times: Georgia, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 10 times: Georgia, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 3 times: Georgia, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 16 times: Georgia, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Georgia, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 19/2095% | 94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | 3 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 13 times: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 10 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 9 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 5/862% | 8/2040% | 90%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 84¢ Kalshi |
| Amazon | 1 time: Amazon, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Amazon, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Amazon, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: Amazon, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Amazon, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 3 times: Amazon, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 6 times: Amazon, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 7 times: Amazon, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 1/812% | 18/2090% | 85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 80¢ Kalshi |
| Volkswagen3+ times | 12 times: Volkswagen (3+ times), Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 10 times: Volkswagen (3+ times), Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 9 times: Volkswagen (3+ times), Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 7 times: Volkswagen (3+ times), Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 9 times: Volkswagen (3+ times), Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 14 times: Volkswagen (3+ times), Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 8 times: Volkswagen (3+ times), Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Volkswagen (3+ times), Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 6/875% | 9/2045% | 83%transcripts from the transcript model | 86¢ Kalshi |
| Robotaxi | 0 times: Robotaxi, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Robotaxi, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Robotaxi, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Robotaxi, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 5 times: Robotaxi, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Robotaxi, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 10 times: Robotaxi, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Robotaxi, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/2015% | 82%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 84¢ Kalshi |
| Battery | 6 times: Battery, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Battery, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 5 times: Battery, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Battery, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 2 times: Battery, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 4 times: Battery, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Battery, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Battery, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 6/875% | 4/850% | 18/2090% | 77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 78¢ Kalshi |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | 0 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 1 time: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 9 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 3 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q2’26 Jul '26 | rising | 4/850% | 2/825% | 8/2040% | 75%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 58¢ Kalshi |
| Uber | 0 times: Uber, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Uber, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Uber, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Uber, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Uber, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Uber, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 8 times: Uber, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Uber, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 2/2010% | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 86¢ Kalshi |
| Headwind | 0 times: Headwind, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q1’25 May '25 | 5 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 1 time: Headwind, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Headwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 3/838% | 1/812% | 6/2030% | 39%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 40¢ Kalshi |
| Tailwind | 4 times: Tailwind, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 4/850% | 1/812% | 11/2055% | 36%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 30¢ Kalshi |
| Tornado | 0 times: Tornado, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Tornado, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Tornado, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Tornado, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Tornado, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Tornado, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Tornado, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Tornado, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/205% | 32%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 10¢ Kalshi |
| Redwoodnever said | 0 times: Redwood, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Redwood, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Redwood, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Redwood, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Redwood, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Redwood, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Redwood, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Redwood, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/200% | 17%transcripts from the transcript model | 28¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Every word
1–1 of 1, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Nov '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coxnever said | 0 times: Cox, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Cox, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Cox, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Cox, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Cox, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Cox, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Cox, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Cox, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/200% | 13%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 11 of 11 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 11 | 8 yes · 3 no | 11/11 (100%) |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 6, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 7, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Rivian (RIVN): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RIVN (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/rivian · words: /api/v1/history?entity=rivian · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP