Will Rivian say “Tornado”?
Rivian did not say “Tornado” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Rivian said “Tornado” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 10¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Rivian
Tornado
- Probability
- 32% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…certain conditions. Two weeks ago, our Normal factory sustained damage from a tornado. I'm proud of the way our teams have rallied together to get…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tornado |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Rivian say “Tornado” on its last earnings call?
- Rivian did not say “Tornado” on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Rivian say “Tornado”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Rivian said “Tornado” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Rivian says “Tornado” next time?
- 32%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Rivian: ‘Tornado’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RIVN/words/tornado (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rivian&word=tornado · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rivian&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP