Will Rivian say “Tariff”?
Rivian said “Tariff” 3 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 13, 10, 9, 2, 2, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Rivian said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 90% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 83¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Rivian
Tariff
- Probability
- 90% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…an increase in revenues related to automotive regulatory credits, and an IEEPA tariff refund receivable, partially offset by the ramp of R2 production. In the…
Sure. On the IEEPA tariff refund piece, as we mentioned in our earnings call, last quarter, we sized the IEEPA tariffs in the tens of…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
We did not book anything this quarter associated with IEPA tariffs, we do believe that we the recovery of those IEPA tariffs is possible in…
…I guess the other thing that I was wondering about was with tariffs, and this is sort of, you know, common bullet with a lot…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…well is we do anticipate seeing a reduction in terms of our tariffs per unit. So we didn't have the full benefit of the Section…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tariff |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How many times did Rivian say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- Rivian said “Tariff” 3 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 13, 10, 9, 2, 2, 3 times.
- How often does Rivian say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Rivian said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Rivian says “Tariff” next time?
- 90%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Rivian: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RIVN/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rivian&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rivian&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP