Will Rivian say “Tailwind”?
Rivian said “Tailwind” 1 time on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Rivian did not say “Tailwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 30¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Rivian
Tailwind
- Probability
- 36% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…impact Q3 automotive gross profit. We'll start to see some of the tailwinds of the scale and volumes kick in in the fourth quarter. Beyond…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…us over the longer term. So as we look at the underlying tailwind of software and services, we saw significant quarter-over-quarter growth in terms of…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…through within our manufacturing facility with our suppliers. We have ongoing commodity tailwinds and that we'll realize over the course of the year. But there…
…that's not to say that a $7,000 tax credit is a helpful tailwind, it certainly is. But we've architected the business and we've built in…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tailwind |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Rivian say “Tailwind” on its last earnings call?
- Rivian said “Tailwind” 1 time on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 4, 2, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1 times.
- How often does Rivian say “Tailwind”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Rivian did not say “Tailwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Rivian says “Tailwind” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Rivian: ‘Tailwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/RIVN/words/tailwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=rivian&word=tailwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=rivian&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP