TBPN: Episode, Apr 24, 2026
On the Apr 24, 2026 episode of TBPN, 5 of the 11 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 11 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
11 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 11 of 11- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collector / Collectible | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Social Media | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Agent / Agentic | Yes | 2 | 27 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| VeeFriends / NFT | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TikTok | Yes | 1 | 7 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Prediction Market | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Garage Sale | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mental Health | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Side Hustle | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Web3 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wine | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsPublisher transcript · TBPN podcast transcript (publisher RSS) · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
0 matches for “Collector / Collectible”.
Where the listed words were said
Gen Alpha buying them. We see vinyl sales. You know, I've been very at the forefront of collectibles. I felt collectibles was something tangible
…the Internet, and mobile devices, and open source versus closed source, and social media, now AI. You know, look, this AI thing is no joke.…
…then even more interestingly, how creative or strategic am I with the agent agents, and what are they doing for me, and how do I…
Yeah. But when I started building VeeFriends and, like, building this Pokemon Sesame Street thing
…in GMV. A trillion in GMV this year in stuff sold. And TikTok shop and whatnot are doing real numbers in The US. Mhmm. And…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/tbpn:2026-04-24:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=tbpn:2026-04-24:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP