Morgan Stanley (MS): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 15, 2026

On its Apr 15, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Morgan Stanley said 5 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

12 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Private Credit Yes814✓62%transcripts from the transcript model–
Basel Yes45✓43%transcripts from the transcript model–
Zero Hash Yes11✓55%transcripts from the transcript model–
Investment Grade Yes11✓43%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tokenized / Tokenization Yes11✓34%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tailwind No00✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Buyback No00✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
Headwind No00✓57%transcripts from the transcript model–
Recession No00✓49%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓47%transcripts from the transcript model–
Iran No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Oil No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Sharon Yeshayacompany“Private Credit” · prepared

…We closed the acquisition of EquityZen, enhancing our leadership position in the private credit markets ecosystem and further deepening market access for clients. We launched…

Ted Pickcompany“Basel” · prepared

…and balance as we move through rulemaking comments toward the finalization of Basel. It's worth noting that over the last nine quarters, we've accreted $15…

Sharon Yeshayacompany“Investment Grade” · prepared

Outperformance was driven by record issuance in the investment-grade market on the back of higher event-driven activity. Looking ahead to the remainder of the year,…

Sharon Yeshayacompany“Tokenized / Tokenization” · qa

…ways that in this new world you actually have value of advice. If you talk at all, where do you work through a tokenized world?

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/morgan-stanley:2026-04-15:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=morgan-stanley:2026-04-15:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP