Face the Nation (CBS), April 5, 2026
On the Apr 5, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 5 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
Updated
Markets
14 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orion | Yes | 3 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | 2 | 5 | ✓ | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Moon Base / Lunar Base | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Invest / Invested / Investment | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mars | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Discover / Discovery | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eclipse | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gravity | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Houston | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ISS / International Space Station | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mark / Kelly | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Radiation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SpaceX / Elon | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Toilet | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
4 matches for “Rocket”; 4 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…effects. And by mass effects, I mean firing many, many dozens of rockets, missiles or drones. I think that capability has been eroded steadily since…
…It's going to be increasingly harder for them to launch missiles and rockets. We may not get to zero for a while, and I think…
…such a campaign. You want to reduce Iran's ability to fire short-range rockets and missiles into the strait against warships. You want to take out…
…Every prime contractor, sub-contractor, every component on the critical path from the rocket itself to the landers to the suits that astronauts will need to…
Where the listed words were said
…gather data from the ECLIS system, the life support system on the Orion spacecraft. This is the first time we've ever had humans on board…
…presence, the build the moon base and do other exciting things like nuclear power and propulsion. And we got $10 billion worth of resources out…
…add a mission in '27, which is Artemis III, to build the moon base and do all the other things like launching the first interplanetary…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/face-the-nation:2026-04-05:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=face-the-nation:2026-04-05:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP