Will “Moon Base / Lunar Base” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Moon Base / Lunar Base” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 5, 2026.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Moon Base / Lunar Base
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Moon Base / Lunar Base |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often is “Moon Base / Lunar Base” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Moon Base / Lunar Base” was said on Face the Nation in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Moon Base / Lunar Base” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Moon Base / Lunar Base’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/lunar-base-or-moon-base (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=lunar%20base%20%2F%20moon%20base · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP