Face the Nation (CBS), April 5, 2026

On the Apr 5, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 5 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

14 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Orion Yes34✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Nuclear Yes25✓56%n=3 from settlement history–
Moon Base / Lunar Base Yes22✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Invest / Invested / Investment Yes12✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Mars Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Discover / Discovery No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Eclipse No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Gravity No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Houston No02✓–new new word, no probability yet–
ISS / International Space Station No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Mark / Kelly No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Radiation No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
SpaceX / Elon No01✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Toilet No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Official transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.

8 matches for “Artemis”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

ED O'KEEFEother

…downed fighter jet in Iran is rescued in a daring mission. Plus: Artemis II makes its way around the moon. Breaking overnight, a U.S. Air…

ED O'KEEFEother

Tomorrow, the crew of Artemis II makes history, becoming the first humans to see some parts of the far side of the moon. NASA Administrator…

ED O'KEEFEother

This morning, the Artemis II crew is closer to the moon than ever before. Here's a look at the exterior of the Orion capsule this…

Jared Isaacmanguest

…learning as much as we can about Orion is critically important because Artemis III is a year away. That's where we're going to test the…

Jared Isaacmanguest

…moon. But all of this comes together to inform subsequent missions like Artemis III, but most importantly now Artemis IV, which is where we're going…

Where the listed words were said

Jared Isaacmanguest“Orion”

…gather data from the ECLIS system, the life support system on the Orion spacecraft. This is the first time we've ever had humans on board…

Jared Isaacmanguest“Nuclear”

…presence, the build the moon base and do other exciting things like nuclear power and propulsion. And we got $10 billion worth of resources out…

Jared Isaacmanguest“Moon Base / Lunar Base”

…add a mission in '27, which is Artemis III, to build the moon base and do all the other things like launching the first interplanetary…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/face-the-nation:2026-04-05:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=face-the-nation:2026-04-05:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP