Jensen Huang: NVIDIA GTC Keynote, Mar 16, 2026
At the keynote on Mar 16, 2026, Jensen Huang said 29 of the 35 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 35 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
35 words · 29 settled yes · our count agreed on 35 of 35- Kalshi: anyone
Kalshi - Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times | Yes | 178 | 178 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Agent / Agentic | Yes | 37 | 37 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Million / Billion 3+ times | Yes | 29 | 29 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vera Rubin | Yes | 28 | 28 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GPU 5+ times | Yes | 24 | 24 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Groq / Grok | Yes | 22 | 22 | ✓ | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Data Center | Yes | 22 | 22 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| OpenClaw | Yes | 21 | 21 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Partner | Yes | 16 | 16 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blackwell | Yes | 13 | 13 | ✓ | 85%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Training | Yes | 12 | 12 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Open Source | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | 82%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trillion | Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Yes | 10 | 10 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – | |
| Invest / Investment | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| OpenAI | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cosmos | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deep Learning | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Anthropic | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Autonomous | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Quantum | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 60%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Self Driving | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Alpamayo | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Humanoid | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 53%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Dynamo | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Microsoft | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hyperscaler | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 10%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Meta | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Photon / Photonics | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / Musk | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Super Bowl | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FSD / Full Self-Driving | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Stargate | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 13%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Domestic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 10%n=3 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · NVIDIA (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
0 matches for “Open Source / Open Weight”.
Where the listed words were said
…A new kind of factory generator of tokens. The building blocks of AI. Tokens have opened a new frontier, turning data into knowledge and drawing…
…be used by AI, and AI is going to be much, much faster than us. Future agents are going to use structured databases as well.
…has taken us 20 years to now have built up hundreds of millions of GPUs and computing systems around the world that run CUDA. We…
And now Vera Rubin architected for every phase of a genetic AI, advancing every pillar of computing, including CPU storage, networking, and security. Vera Rubin,…
…so the application reach is so great that once you install NVIDIA GPUs, the useful life of it is incredibly high. It is also one…
…optics, increasing energy efficiency and resiliency, and an incredible new addition, the Groq 3 LPX rack, tightly connected to Vera Rubin Groqs LPU's massive on…
…algorithm in whatever scenario it wants to be deployed, whether it's a data center, cloud on prem at the edge, or in a robotic system.
…and, um, he, he wrote a piece of software, uh, it's called OpenClaw. And and, um, I don't know if he realized, uh, how successful…
NVIDIA's integrated really deeply into AWS. They were our first cloud partner. ________________ Microsoft Azure. NVIDIA's A100 supercomputer was the first one we built was…
…saw $500 billion of very high confidence demand and purchase orders for Blackwell and Rubin through 2026. I said that last year. Now, I don't…
…It has to generate tokens. It has to inference. It's way past training. Now it's in the in the field of inference. So the the…
…intelligence today. Thousands of tools and compilers and frameworks and libraries in open source. There's a couple of hundred thousand public projects. CUDA literally is…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/jensen-huang:2026-03-16:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=jensen-huang:2026-03-16:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP