What is the probability Jensen Huang says “Alpamayo” next time?

78%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Will Jensen Huang say “Alpamayo”?

Name: Jensen Huang: “Alpamayo” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, Jensen Huang said “Alpamayo” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 16, 2026.

Of the last 5 keynotes we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – May 10, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 1. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 21, 2026) is not counted.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: anyone

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 21:28 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jensen Huang

Alpamayo

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 5 keynotes: said in 1 of 5

Next listing counts: anyone

What will Jensen Huang say during CBS Sunday Morning? · not listed

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What will Jensen Huang say during the Carnegie Mellon Commencement Keynote? · not listed

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What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA GTC Keynote? · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

3 counted.

Jensen Huangspeaker1:57:19In transcript

…it's Nemotron, Cosmos, World Foundation model, GR00T, artificial general robotics, humanoid robotics models, Alpamayo for autonomous vehicle, BioNeMo for digital biology, Earth-2 for AI physics.

Jensen Huangspeaker1:58:31In transcript

…And speech. Cosmos frontier models for physical AI world generation and understanding. Alpamayo. The world's first thinking and reasoning. Autonomous vehicle AI. GR00T, foundation models…

Every match in the transcript

What will Jensen Huang say during his WEF Conversation? · not listed

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What will Jensen Huang say during the NVIDIA CES Keynote? · not listed

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What will Jensen say during the NVIDIA Keynote? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result	Our count
Mar 17, 2026	Alpamayo	Kalshi	Yes	3
Mar 16, 2026	Alpamayo	Polymarket	Yes	3

Questions

How often does Jensen Huang say “Alpamayo”?: As of Oct 24, 2026, Jensen Huang said “Alpamayo” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 16, 2026.
What is the probability Jensen Huang says “Alpamayo” next time?: 78%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jensen Huang: ‘Alpamayo’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jensen-huang/words/alpamayo (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jensen-huang&word=alpamayo · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jensen-huang&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP