Will Jensen Huang say “Elon / Musk”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Jensen Huang said “Elon / Musk” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (40%), most recently on Jan 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 keynotes we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – May 10, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 21, 2026) is not counted.

29%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Jensen Huang

Elon / Musk

Probability
29% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last 5 keynotes
said in 2 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Jensen Huang say during CBS Sunday Morning? · not listed

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What will Jensen Huang say during the Carnegie Mellon Commencement Keynote? · not said

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What will Jensen Huang say during NVIDIA GTC Keynote? · not said

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What will Jensen Huang say during his WEF Conversation? · not said

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What will Jensen Huang say during the NVIDIA CES Keynote? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Jensen Huangspeaker1:26:32In transcript

…us to build the next frontier model. The next frontier model uh Elon's already mentioned that the next version of Grok, Grok 5, I think…

What will Jensen say during the NVIDIA Keynote? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted.

Jensen Huangspeaker1:32:47In transcript

It is very likely that humanoid robots and uh my friend Elon is also working on this that this is likely going to be one…

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
May 10, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo0
Mar 17, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo0
Jan 22, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo0
Jan 6, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes1
Jan 5, 2026Elon / MuskPolymarketYes1
Oct 29, 2025Elon / MuskKalshiYes1

Questions

How often does Jensen Huang say “Elon / Musk”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Jensen Huang said “Elon / Musk” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (40%), most recently on Jan 5, 2026.
What is the probability Jensen Huang says “Elon / Musk” next time?
29%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Jensen Huang: ‘Elon / Musk’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jensen-huang/words/elon-or-musk (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jensen-huang&word=elon%20%2F%20musk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jensen-huang&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP