Will Jensen Huang say “Blackwell”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jensen Huang said “Blackwell” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 83% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 5 keynotes we have transcripts for (Oct 29, 2025 – May 10, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 21, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jensen Huang
Blackwell
- Probability
- 83% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 5 keynotes
- said in 3 of 5
Next listing counts: anyone
Counts: anyone
13 counted.
…saw $500 billion of very high confidence demand and purchase orders for Blackwell and Rubin through 2026. I said that last year. Now, I don't…
…built, the way it's manufactured, the way it's programmed, completely changed. Grace Blackwell NVLink 72 was a giant bet, and it wasn't easy for anybody.…
Counts: named speaker only
7 counted.
…the IO performance is incredible. This is the Rubin GPU. It's 5x Blackwell in floating performance. But, the important thing is go to the bottom…
…inside an HBM is no longer large enough. Last year, we created Grace Blackwell's very fast memory we called fast context memory. In That's the
Counts: named speaker only
23 counted.
…NVIDIA Arc. The Aerial Radio Network Computer, Aerial RAM computer, Arc. Arc is built from three fundamental new technologies. the Grace CPU, the Blackwell GPU,
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Jensen Huang say “Blackwell”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Jensen Huang said “Blackwell” at 3 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 29, 2025 (100%), most recently on Mar 16, 2026.
- What is the probability Jensen Huang says “Blackwell” next time?
- 83%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jensen Huang: ‘Blackwell’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/jensen-huang/words/blackwell (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jensen-huang&word=blackwell · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jensen-huang&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP