Carvana (CVNA): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026

Thu, Feb 19Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptCarvana

On its Feb 19, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Carvana said 4 of the 10 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

10 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes58✓69%transcripts from the transcript model–
Acquired / Acquisition Yes23✓80%transcripts from the transcript model–
Auction Yes12✓72%transcripts from the transcript model–
Ally Yes11✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
Same Day No00✓69%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓69%transcripts from the transcript model–
Automation No00✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Insurance No00✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Bridgecrest No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
DriveTime No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Sebastian”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Ernest Garciacompanyqa

…I think a major set of tools that contributes to that is Sebastian and other tools that emerge from that AI brain. So I think…

Where the listed words were said

Ernest Garciacompany“AI / Artificial Intelligence” · qa

…positive. I think even that -- a discussion today is what does AI mean for different companies in the long term? And I think we're…

Mark Jenkinscompany“Acquired / Acquisition” · prepared

…sold growth primarily due to traditional gross revenue treatment for certain vehicles acquired from a large retail marketplace partner. Consistent with past quarters, our growth…

Mark Jenkinscompany“Auction” · prepared

…record 596,641. We integrated 10 additional ADESA locations, we expanded our digital auction capabilities nationwide, we reached multiyear highs on customer Net Promoter Score, and…

Mark Jenkinscompany“Ally” · prepared

…billion over the next 2 years in addition to $6 billion with Ally through October 2026. Q4 was another strong quarter for levering SG&A expenses.…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/carvana:2026-02-19:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=carvana:2026-02-19:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP