Will Carvana say “Ally”?

Carvana did not say “Ally” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Carvana said “Ally” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

34%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
18¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Carvana

Ally

Probability
34% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Mark JenkinscompanypreparedIn transcript

…billion over the next 2 years in addition to $6 billion with Ally through October 2026. Q4 was another strong quarter for levering SG&A expenses.…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Mark JenkinscompanypreparedIn transcript

…$14 billion of future loan principal. First, we upsized and extended our Ally agreement for up to $6 billion of loan purchases through October 2027,…

Mark JenkinscompanyqaIn transcript

…in our other GPU. And then secondly, the outside validation of having Ally upsized from $4 billion to $6 billion based on the performance trends…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ernie GarciacompanyqaIn transcript

…kind of recurring buyers than we've ever had. We've got, obviously, our Ally arrangement, which has been great for us over a long period of…

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026AllyKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026AllyKalshiNo0
Feb 19, 2026AllyKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Carvana say “Ally” on its last earnings call?
Carvana did not say “Ally” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does Carvana say “Ally”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Carvana said “Ally” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 19, 2026.
What is the probability Carvana says “Ally” next time?
34%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Carvana: ‘Ally’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CVNA/words/ally (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carvana&word=ally · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carvana&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP