Will Carvana say “Auction”?

Carvana did not say “Auction” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 5, 1, 3, 0, 4, 1, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Carvana said “Auction” on 2 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

59%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
61¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Carvana

Auction

Probability
59% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ernie Garciacompanyqa · 31:48In transcript

…letter that we feel like ADESA CLEAR , which is our digital auction platform, is now a best-in-class platform. We've got a lot of reasons…

Andrew Booneanalystqa · 44:14In transcript

…specifically, you called out ADESA Clear as a best in class digital auction. Can you speak to the longer term opportunity of what you guys…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Mark JenkinscompanypreparedIn transcript

…record 596,641. We integrated 10 additional ADESA locations, we expanded our digital auction capabilities nationwide, we reached multiyear highs on customer Net Promoter Score, and…

Joseph SpakanalystqaIn transcript

…back at some -- I think, going to some attractive rates at auction. And I'm curious whether you think that, that's an opportunity to plug…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Ernest GarciacompanypreparedIn transcript

…by a day in the last 5 quarters. We've developed our digital auction capability, ADESA Clear, delivering a best-in-class digital auction experience to our wholesale…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 5 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026AuctionKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026AuctionKalshiYes1
Feb 19, 2026AuctionKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Carvana say “Auction” on its last earnings call?
Carvana did not say “Auction” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 5, 1, 3, 0, 4, 1, 1, 0 times.
How often does Carvana say “Auction”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Carvana said “Auction” on 2 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 29, 2026.
What is the probability Carvana says “Auction” next time?
59%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Carvana: ‘Auction’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CVNA/words/auction (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carvana&word=auction · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carvana&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP