Carvana (CVNA)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 37 word markets on Carvana’s earnings calls since 2026, on 17 different words. Next call: Oct 28, 2026 (13 words listed).
| Word | Q3’24Oct '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADESA | 11 times: ADESA, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 5 times: ADESA, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 5 times: ADESA, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 15 times: ADESA, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 11 times: ADESA, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: ADESA, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 6 times: ADESA, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: ADESA, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 4/850% | 18/3847% | 88%transcripts from the transcript model | 86¢ Kalshi |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 3 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 4 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 5 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 1/812% | 10/3826% | 82%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 80¢ Kalshi |
| Acquired / Acquisition | 5 times: Acquired / Acquisition, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 3 times: Acquired / Acquisition, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Acquired / Acquisition, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Acquired / Acquisition, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Acquired / Acquisition, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 2 times: Acquired / Acquisition, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Acquired / Acquisition, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Acquired / Acquisition, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 4/850% | 34/3889% | 81%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 93¢ Kalshi |
| Market Share | 4 times: Market Share, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 12 times: Market Share, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 5 times: Market Share, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 1 time: Market Share, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Market Share, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 3 times: Market Share, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Market Share, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Market Share, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 5/862% | 32/3884% | 73%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 74¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 1 time: Tariff, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 5 times: Tariff, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Tariff, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | steady | 6/875% | 3/838% | 6/3816% | 68%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 69¢ Kalshi |
| Sebastian | 0 times: Sebastian, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 1 time: Sebastian, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Sebastian, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Sebastian, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Sebastian, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Sebastian, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Sebastian, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 3 times: Sebastian, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 0/80% | 17/3845% | 59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 58¢ Kalshi |
| Auction | 5 times: Auction, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 1 time: Auction, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 3 times: Auction, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Auction, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 4 times: Auction, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Auction, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Auction, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Auction, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 6/875% | 2/825% | 28/3874% | 59%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 62¢ Kalshi |
| Title / Registration | 0 times: Title / Registration, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 4 times: Title / Registration, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Title / Registration, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: Title / Registration, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: Title / Registration, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 4 times: Title / Registration, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Title / Registration, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Title / Registration, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 5/862% | 1/812% | 18/3847% | 49%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 38¢ Kalshi |
| CARLI | 0 times: CARLI, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: CARLI, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: CARLI, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: CARLI, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: CARLI, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: CARLI, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: CARLI, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: CARLI, Q2’26 Jul '26 | rising | 3/838% | 0/80% | 5/3813% | 43%transcripts from the transcript model | 50¢ Kalshi |
| Ally | 0 times: Ally, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Ally, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Ally, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Ally, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: Ally, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Ally, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Ally, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Ally, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 3/838% | 2/825% | 17/3845% | 34%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 18¢ Kalshi |
| Automation | 0 times: Automation, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Automation, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Automation, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Automation, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: Automation, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Automation, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Automation, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Automation, Q2’26 Jul '26 | rising | 2/825% | 0/80% | 3/388% | 34%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 18¢ Kalshi |
| Iran / Middle East | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 2 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Jul '26 | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/383% | 23%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 14¢ Kalshi |
| Insurance | 0 times: Insurance, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Insurance, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Insurance, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Insurance, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 2 times: Insurance, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Insurance, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Insurance, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Insurance, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 2/385% | 20%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 12¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Every word
1–6 of 6, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Oct '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridgecrestnever said | 0 times: Bridgecrest, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Bridgecrest, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Bridgecrest, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Bridgecrest, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Bridgecrest, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Bridgecrest, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Bridgecrest, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Bridgecrest, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/380% | 10%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| DriveTime | 0 times: DriveTime, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: DriveTime, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: DriveTime, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: DriveTime, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: DriveTime, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: DriveTime, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: DriveTime, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: DriveTime, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 2/385% | 10%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Same Day | 5 times: Same Day, Q3’24 Oct '24, counts as said | 3 times: Same Day, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Same Day, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Same Day, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 6 times: Same Day, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Same Day, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Same Day, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Same Day, Q2’26 Jul '26 | falling | 3/838% | 1/812% | 7/3818% | 38%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Headwind | 0 times: Headwind, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Headwind, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 3 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 0/80% | 18/3847% | 42%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Stadiumnever said | 0 times: Stadium, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Stadium, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Stadium, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Stadium, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Stadium, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Stadium, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Stadium, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Stadium, Q2’26 Jul '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/380% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Tailwind | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’24 Oct '24 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 0/80% | 16/3842% | 36%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 37 of 37 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 14 | 5 yes · 9 no | 14/14 (100%) |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 13 | 5 yes · 8 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 10 | 4 yes · 6 no | 10/10 (100%) |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 31, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 7, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 1, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 22, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Carvana (CVNA): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CVNA (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/carvana · words: /api/v1/history?entity=carvana · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP