Will Carvana say “Same Day”?

Carvana did not say “Same Day” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 5, 3, 0, 0, 6, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Carvana did not say “Same Day” on any of the 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Carvana

Same Day

Probability
38% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 29, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

6 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ernest GarciacompanypreparedIn transcript

…customers in Phoenix have about 2,500 cars available to be delivered that same day. That's worth pausing on and taking time to think through the…

Ernest GarciacompanyqaIn transcript

…that are closer to more customers, and we can roll out that same-day delivery capability in more spots. So I think it's going to be…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).

Ernie GarciacompanyqaIn transcript

…room left. I think we've talked a bit about rolling out our same-day delivery capabilities that remain at very early stages. That's an incredibly complex…

Ernie GarciacompanyqaIn transcript

…- kind of technology enhancements that we can lean into to make same-day delivery available to a larger portion of the credit spectrum. And then…

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ernie GarciacompanyqaIn transcript

…think are exciting for that business as well. As it relates to same-day delivery, it’s still a small fraction of our sites. We’re now up…

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 29, 2026Same DayKalshiNo0
Apr 29, 2026Same DayKalshiNo0
Feb 19, 2026Same DayKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Carvana say “Same Day” on its last earnings call?
Carvana did not say “Same Day” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 5, 3, 0, 0, 6, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Carvana say “Same Day”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Carvana did not say “Same Day” on any of the 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 19, 2026.
What is the probability Carvana says “Same Day” next time?
38%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Carvana: ‘Same Day’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CVNA/words/same-day (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carvana&word=same%20day · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carvana&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP