Carvana (CVNA): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 19, 2026

Thu, Feb 19Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptCarvana

On its Feb 19, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Carvana said 4 of the 10 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

10 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes58✓69%transcripts from the transcript model–
Acquired / Acquisition Yes23✓80%transcripts from the transcript model–
Auction Yes12✓72%transcripts from the transcript model–
Ally Yes11✓48%transcripts from the transcript model–
Same Day No00✓69%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓69%transcripts from the transcript model–
Automation No00✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Insurance No00✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Bridgecrest No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
DriveTime No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

2 matches for “Auction”; 2 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Mark Jenkinscompanyprepared

…record 596,641. We integrated 10 additional ADESA locations, we expanded our digital auction capabilities nationwide, we reached multiyear highs on customer Net Promoter Score, and…

Joseph Spakanalystqa

…back at some -- I think, going to some attractive rates at auction. And I'm curious whether you think that, that's an opportunity to plug…

Where the listed words were said

Ernest Garciacompany“AI / Artificial Intelligence” · qa

…contributes to that is Sebastian and other tools that emerge from that AI brain. So I think that that's a very clear place where we're…

Mark Jenkinscompany“Acquired / Acquisition” · prepared

…sold growth primarily due to traditional gross revenue treatment for certain vehicles acquired from a large retail marketplace partner. Consistent with past quarters, our growth…

Mark Jenkinscompany“Ally” · prepared

…billion over the next 2 years in addition to $6 billion with Ally through October 2026. Q4 was another strong quarter for levering SG&A expenses.…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/carvana:2026-02-19:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=carvana:2026-02-19:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP