Palantir (PLTR): FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 2, 2026

On its Feb 2, 2026 earnings call (FY25 Q4), Palantir said 5 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
International Yes88✓89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Foundry Yes55✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Warp Speed Yes44✓83%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Lethal Yes11✓72%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Healthcare Yes11✓45%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Revenue guidance No00✓84%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Partnership No00✓79%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Commercial Growth No00✓32%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Automotive No00✓31%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Gotham Platform No00✓14%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Percepta No00✓13%transcripts from the transcript model–
Hadean No00✓11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Nvidia No00✓11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
AI Growth No00✓10%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Government Contract No00✓10%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

34 matches for “Commercial”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Ryan Taylorcompanyprepared

…new features all within the year because of the ontology." Our U.S. commercial business grew 137% year-over-year and 28% sequentially, building on the blistering pace…

Ryan Taylorcompanyprepared

…naval vessels. This engagement exemplifies how Palantir's supply chain expertise honed across commercial and defense customers is now being deployed to solve some of the…

David Glazercompanyqa

…grew 93% year-over-year and 22% sequentially in the fourth quarter. Our U.S. commercial business grew 137% year-over-year and 28% sequentially, and our U.S. government business…

David Glazercompanyqa

…75% year-over-year to $3.320 billion. Excluding the impact of revenue from strategic commercial contracts, fourth quarter revenue grew 72% year-over-year and 19% sequentially, and full…

David Glazercompanyqa

…increased 45% year-over-year to $94 million per customer. Now moving to our Commercial segment. Fourth quarter commercial revenue grew 82% year-over-year and 23% sequentially to…

Where the listed words were said

David Glazercompany“International” · qa

…571 customers, reflecting growth of 49% year-over-year and 8% sequentially. Fourth quarter international commercial revenue grew 8% year-over-year and 12% sequentially to $171 million. Full…

Ryan Taylorcompany“Foundry” · prepared

…so far, they haven't been able to. 97% of our employees use Foundry every day. Foundry is our operating system." And he continued, "The ontology…

Shyam Sankarcompany“Warp Speed” · prepared

…battlefield complexity into lethality. They all work together, building on each other. Warp Speed continued to build momentum across American industry. ShipOS was the most…

Alexander Karpcompany“Lethal” · qa

…we believe is the noble side of the West, which means being lethal on the front end, meaning outside against adversaries if necessary, hopefully, adversaries…

Ryan Taylorcompany“Healthcare” · prepared

…cases. In addition, new customers are starting with substantial initial deals. A health care company completed 2 boot camps with us last summer and signed…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/palantir:2026-02-02:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=palantir:2026-02-02:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP