Jamie Dimon: World Economic Forum Conversation, Jan 22, 2026

At the keynote on Jan 22, 2026, Jamie Dimon said 8 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Part of Wef conversation (2 appearances).

Updated

Markets

12 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Trump Yes1015✓–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes712✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Tariff Yes712✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Inflation Yes66✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
China Yes48✓84%n=2 from settlement history–
National Security Yes22✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Regulation / Regulatory Yes11✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Bubble / Innovation Yes11✓49%n=2 from settlement history–
Energy / Nuclear No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Private Credit / Private Equity No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Gold No00✓–n=1 too little history for a probability–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Captions · machine-attributed · World Economic Forum (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

6 matches for “Inflation”; 3 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Jamie Dimonspeaker23:23

to me. What happens if inflation goes up? They raise interest rates. What happens if inflation goes down? They reduce interest rates. They are a…

Jamie Dimonspeaker23:50

…who had a 60% approval rate when he got elected, you know, inflation was only three and a half%. and it kept on going up.…

Jamie Dimonspeaker24:13

…unions, you know, the oil issues and all that, but uh but inflation is is a bugaboo and the Fed has to deal with inflation…

Where the listed words were said

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Trump” · 12:29

…know, to me, it's important to understand that, you know, originally during Trump won, people, oh, we're looking to leave. No, we didn't. you know,…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“AI / Artificial Intelligence” · 4:26

So we don't look at AI that different than technology. Technology has always been the thing that changes everything we all do. That's been true…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Tariff” · 11:29

you know, trade and tariffs are part of that, but not the only part of that. So, I still think that's the best thing to…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“China” · 14:32

I I think that's a real stretch. You know, China has a $15,000 per person GDP. Ours is 85. We the most dynamic economy and…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“National Security” · 18:03

…parts to trade. Okay. And some require tariffs. Okay. One part is national security. We should do what we have to do to create national…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Regulation / Regulatory” · 22:48

…Fed. One is monetary that needs to be independent. The other is regulatory. Huge overreach. That's not independent. That's law. And and so let me…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Bubble / Innovation” · 28:30

…integrated and so complex and it's hard to always tell but the innovation is unbelievable. you take a trip to Silicon Valley and look at…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/jamie-dimon:2026-01-22:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=jamie-dimon:2026-01-22:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP