Jamie Dimon: America Business Forum, Nov 7, 2025

At the keynote on Nov 7, 2025, Jamie Dimon said 6 of the 16 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Part of America business forum (2 appearances).

Updated

Markets

16 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Regulation / Regulatory Yes45✓–new new word, no probability yet–
China Yes22✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Tariff Yes23✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Headquarter Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Inflation Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Soft Landing Yes11✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Bitcoin / Crypto No02✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Bubble No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Deficit No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Gold No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Private Credit No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Rate No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Recession No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Stagflation No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Unemployment No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–
Zohran / Mamdani No00✓–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Captions · machine-attributed · America Business Forum (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.

Machine-attributed. Speaker turns are labelled by a model, not the publisher.

1 match for “Inflation”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Jamie Dimonspeaker31:23

…and trade and politics and you know geopolitics and you know potential inflation and Fed policy. You're going to have to navigate all that. I…

Where the listed words were said

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Regulation / Regulatory” · 26:55

some of this dereg, our regulatory system has got I'm not talking about banks, by the way. Any one of you get involved in regulations.…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“China” · 6:00

…years ago I sent the consumer banking team 15 years ago to China and they were like why are we going to China we're an…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Tariff” · 31:43

…these problems we have sometimes it isn't, you know, is people say tariffs. Well, it that's just one thing. You know, there are all these…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Headquarter” · 9:56

…to a lot of corporations, they they all stay at the corporate headquarters and talk to each other. They're not going on a sales call.…

Jamie Dimonspeaker“Soft Landing” · 32:15

…should be prepared for and hopefully you know continue to have this soft landing but it may not happen. We we just don't know. You…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/jamie-dimon:2025-11-07:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=jamie-dimon:2025-11-07:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP