Palantir (PLTR): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025

On its Nov 4, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Palantir said 7 of the 16 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

16 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Foundry Yes66✓87%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Revenue guidance Yes55✓80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
International Yes33✓84%transcripts from the transcript model–
Lethal Yes33✓66%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Warp Speed Yes22✓79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Partnership Yes11✓77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Commercial Growth Yes11✓10%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Healthcare No00✓67%transcripts from the transcript model–
Automotive No00✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
Gotham Platform No00✓17%transcripts from the transcript model–
Hadean No00✓13%transcripts from the transcript model–
Nvidia No00✓13%transcripts from the transcript model–
Shutdown / Shut Down No00✓13%transcripts from the transcript model–
AI Growth No00✓10%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Government Contract No00✓10%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Titan Deployment No00✓10%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Maven”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Shyam Sankarcompanyqa

…opportunities you mentioned there, but whether it's NGC2, the continued growth of, Maven, I mean we have, of course, America is involved with 3 conflicts…

Where the listed words were said

Shyam Sankarcompany“Foundry” · prepared

…to consolidate and centralize on Vantage, the Army data platform built on foundry and AIP. The Army views this, not merely as a technical decision,…

David Glazercompany“Revenue guidance” · qa

…guide and 61% growth year-over-year. We're also raising our full year 2025 revenue guidance midpoint to $4.398 billion, representing a 53% year-over-year growth rate and…

David Glazercompany“International” · qa

…530 customers, reflecting growth of 65% year-over-year and 9% sequentially. Third quarter international commercial revenue grew 10% year-over-year and 5% sequentially to $152 million. For…

Alexander Karpcompany“Lethal” · qa

…specific nature of their business that makes them particular and valuable and lethal and we empower that. And how do we participate in that? Unlike…

Shyam Sankarcompany“Warp Speed” · prepared

…and enable more investment in the Army's Future Force concept and systems. Warp Speed and the American Tech Fellowship are early investments to support manufacturing…

Ryan Taylorcompany“Partnership” · prepared

…claims processing, leading to a significant expansion of our work together. Our partnership with TWG Global named Vergence.ai continues to gain momentum as TWG's Thomas…

Alexander Karpcompany“Commercial Growth” · qa

…normal enterprise company at our base should not have over 100% U.S. commercial growth should not have 77% growth in the U.S. And by the…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/palantir:2025-11-04:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=palantir:2025-11-04:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP