PayPal (PYPL): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 28, 2025

Tue, Oct 28Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptPayPal

On its Oct 28, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), PayPal said 8 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Biometric Yes77✓54%transcripts from the transcript model–
Google Yes45✓25%transcripts from the transcript model–
E-Commerce Yes33✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
College Yes33✓53%transcripts from the transcript model–
Blue Owl Yes34✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Cash Back Yes11✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
Unprofitable Yes11✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
Stablecoin / Stable Coin Yes11✓65%transcripts from the transcript model–
Bank No00✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Charge Off / Charge-Off No00✓47%transcripts from the transcript model–
Hyperwallet No00✓42%transcripts from the transcript model–
Blockchain No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Fintech No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Regulation / Regulator No00✓29%transcripts from the transcript model–
Bitcoin No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

28 matches for “Consumer”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Alex Chrisscompanyprepared

…or agentic. We are focused on delivering the best checkout experience so consumers can pay how, where, and when they want. It means they can…

Alex Chrisscompanyprepared

…or Tap to Pay. It also means building for a future where consumers can pay through AI agents powered by Google, OpenAI, Perplexity, and others.…

Alex Chrisscompanyprepared

…company to a commerce company. We need to be available everywhere a consumer wants to make a purchase. This is about more than being present…

Alex Chrisscompanyprepared

…and avenues for growth. All of this will be complemented by a consumer value prop with a highly competitive rewards program aimed at increasing frequency…

Alex Chrisscompanyprepared

…sheet we've been scaling, have shown improved conversion between 2% to 5%. Consumers benefit from a mobile checkout experience that is second to none, while…

Where the listed words were said

Alex Chrisscompany“Biometric” · prepared

…that we keep improving PayPal Holdings, Inc.'s prioritization across merchants and scaling biometric login, both of which have been proven to increase conversion. On the…

Alex Chrisscompany“Google” · prepared

…this year, and in September, we announced our expansive multi-year partnership with Google to create new AI shopping experiences. This morning, we announced a significant…

Alex Chrisscompany“E-Commerce” · prepared

…work is needed to close the gap between our performance and overall e-commerce growth. Our strategy moving into next year centers on three priorities: continuing…

Alex Chrisscompany“College” · prepared

…attracted 1 million first-time users in Q3, thanks in part to our college partnerships. Monthly Venmo debit actives grew by more than 40%. This has…

Jamie S. Millercompany“Blue Owl” · prepared

…credit, externalizing a portion of our short-term U.S. pay later receivables with Blue Owl Capital. We ended the quarter with $6.4 billion in net loan…

Jamie S. Millercompany“Cash Back” · qa

…are targeted really around product attach and habituation. Things like merchant co-marketing, cashback offers, and rewards, and things around better placement and presentment drive right…

Alex Chrisscompany“Unprofitable” · prepared

…new customers and deepening engagement across our existing base. We have reinvigorated unprofitable and underperforming parts of the business. We're leveraging our incredible brands to…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/paypal:2025-10-28:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=paypal:2025-10-28:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP