Will PayPal say “Unprofitable”?
PayPal did not say “Unprofitable” on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 4, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, PayPal said “Unprofitable” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 28, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 28, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
PayPal
Unprofitable
- Probability
- 26% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…new customers and deepening engagement across our existing base. We have reinvigorated unprofitable and underperforming parts of the business. We're leveraging our incredible brands to…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…volume. We are now past the peak pressure from renegotiating and shedding unprofitable volume. Braintree volume was roughly flat in the quarter. We expect to…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…able to improve merchant performance and profitability. We took this merchant from unprofitable to profitable, improving their transaction margin nearly 20 percentage points over the…
…our Braintree business and have made deliberate choices to shift away from unprofitable volume. Shifting away from this volume pressures gross revenue but is accretive…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Unprofitable |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Unprofitable |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Unprofitable | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Unprofitable | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did PayPal say “Unprofitable” on its last earnings call?
- PayPal did not say “Unprofitable” on its Jul 28, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 4, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does PayPal say “Unprofitable”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, PayPal said “Unprofitable” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 28, 2025 (33%), most recently on Oct 28, 2025.
- What is the probability PayPal says “Unprofitable” next time?
- 26%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “PayPal: ‘Unprofitable’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PYPL/words/unprofitable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=paypal&word=unprofitable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=paypal&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP