Goldman Sachs (GS): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2025
On its Oct 14, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Goldman Sachs said 3 of the 12 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 12 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.
UpdatedMarkets
12 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 12- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Clip | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M&A | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 90%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 1:18, M&A | – |
| Uncertainty | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 89%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 3:04, Uncertainty | – |
| Charge Off / Charge-Off | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 71%transcripts from the transcript model | Hear it 14:04, Charge Off / Charge-Off | – |
| Trading | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 76%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Buyback | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 59%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Regulation | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 48%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Europe | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Marcus | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 42%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Recession | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 29%transcripts from the transcript model | – | |
| Layoff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
6 matches for “Volatility”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…our conversations in boardrooms that after a period of heightened uncertainty and volatility early in the year, many of our clients have navigated and adapted…
…prepared remarks, if you remember, I said after a little bit of volatility early in the year, CEOs are really focused strategically where they want…
…in a period of time where there was a lot of capital volatility and firms had a hard time planning their capital on a year-to-year…
…the course of the last five years when there's been more capital volatility. If you go back and you look over the last few years,…
…in something like averaging, that means that there's going to be less volatility on a year-to-year basis. I think most firms, including ourselves, would be…
Where the listed words were said
…excellence in investment banking. We've seen increased momentum in our number one M&A franchise as clients turn to us for their most consequential transactions. Recently,…
…quarter. Our provision for credit losses of $339 million primarily reflected net charge-offs in our credit card portfolio. Turning to expenses on page 10, total…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/goldman-sachs:2025-10-14:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=goldman-sachs:2025-10-14:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP