Netflix (NFLX): FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 17, 2025

Thu, Jul 17Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptNetflix

On its Jul 17, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q2), Netflix said 13 of the 28 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 27 of 28 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

28 words · 13 settled yes · our count agreed on 27 of 28

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Engagement Yes1414✓96%transcripts from the transcript model–
Partnership Yes99✓49%transcripts from the transcript model–
Live Event Yes77✓85%transcripts from the transcript model–
AI / Artificial Intelligence 7+ timesYes55✗32%transcripts from the transcript model–
Squid Game Yes33✓86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Gaming Yes22✓66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
India Yes22✓58%transcripts from the transcript model–
Interface Yes22✓34%transcripts from the transcript model–
Q3 Yes11✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tier Yes11✓68%transcripts from the transcript model–
America Yes11✓64%transcripts from the transcript model–
Grand Theft Auto Yes11✓45%transcripts from the transcript model–
Ad-supported Yes11✓30%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Netflix 30+ timesNo2222✓21%transcripts from the transcript model–
Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ timesNo99✓36%transcripts from the transcript model–
Movie 7+ timesNo66✓40%transcripts from the transcript model–
Subscriber No00✓81%transcripts from the transcript model–
Canada No00✓77%transcripts from the transcript model–
Churn No00✓66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Russia No00✓55%transcripts from the transcript model–
Recession No00✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Debt No00✓32%transcripts from the transcript model–
Password No00✓27%transcripts from the transcript model–
Advertisement No00✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–
Anime No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Crypto / Bitcoin No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Downgrade No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Profitable”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Gregory Peterscompanyqa

…moments of truth for sure, but especially compete to win those most profitable moments. And back to your specific question, it's worth remembering there's about…

Where the listed words were said

Gregory Peterscompany“Engagement” · qa

…we've done since the last quarter have been in line with expectations. Engagement also remains healthy. So things all look stable from those indicators and…

Spencer Wangcompany“Partnership” · qa

…from Loop Capital next. Can you provide more information on the TF1 partnership? Why did you choose to add TF1 in France as opposed to…

Spencer Neumanncompany“Live Event” · qa

…Q4. We've got many of our biggest new and returning titles and live events in the back half of the year. We've also -- Q4…

Spencer Wangcompany“AI / Artificial Intelligence (7+)” · qa

…from Justin Patterson of KeyBanc. Could you please talk about your generative AI initiatives? Where do you think GenAI will be most impactful over time,…

Spencer Wangcompany“Squid Game” · qa

…The content in the back half of the year looks strong with Squid Game 3 already the third most popular non-English series ever, and Wednesday…

Spencer Wangcompany“Gaming” · qa

…question comes from Brian Pitz of BMO Capital Markets. With your evolving gaming ambitions, including partnerships with Grand Theft Auto and the recently announced Roblox…

Theodore Sarandoscompany“India” · qa

…Boroughs. We've got The Human Vapor from Japan, Operation Safed Sagar from India, Can This Love Be Translated? from Korea. So again, popular programming, new…

Gregory Peterscompany“Interface” · qa

…That's a totally different job, and we really need a different user interface to do that job well. Add to that, we saw the opportunity…

Spencer Wangcompany“Tier” · qa

…and the recently announced TF1 partnership. Is there a path to additional tiers of service based on types of content available? Or will Netflix always…

Spencer Wangcompany“America” · qa

…We'll take our last question from Jessica Reif Ehrlich of Bank of America Securities. Given your healthy balance sheet and what appears to be a…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/netflix:2025-07-17:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=netflix:2025-07-17:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP