Will Netflix say “Live Event”?
Netflix said “Live Event” 5 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 5, 3, 7, 5, 5, 4, 7, 5 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Netflix said “Live Event” on 6 of 6 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 17, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 93% (n=6, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 6/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 6 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 89¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Netflix
Live Event
- Probability
- 93% · n=6
- Settled
- 6/6 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…clarity in what has typically been Netflix's industry-leading strategy. What role do live events, or becoming a centralized streaming portal, or offering short-form video, third…
…the Netflix originals. Differentiated, exclusive, ambitious, professionally produced series and films and live events. We have oriented the market to expect something great and new…
Counts: company speakers + operator
7 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A).
…to the business. A really great example of this is live programming. Live events do a lot of lifting for us for acquisition. They're good…
…of view hours. Having said that, six out of top 10 new member sign-up days over the past five years have come from live events.
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
…about the World Baseball Classic viewership? Are there other similar sports and live event opportunities out there that can appeal to a global audience and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Live Event |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Live Event | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Live Event | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Live Event | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Live Event | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Live Event | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
Questions
- How many times did Netflix say “Live Event” on its last earnings call?
- Netflix said “Live Event” 5 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 5, 3, 7, 5, 5, 4, 7, 5 times.
- How often does Netflix say “Live Event”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Netflix said “Live Event” on 6 of 6 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 17, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Netflix says “Live Event” next time?
- 93%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Netflix: ‘Live Event’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NFLX/words/live-event (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=netflix&word=live%20event · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=netflix&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP