Will Netflix say “Subscriber”?
Netflix said “Subscriber” 3 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 5, 2, 0, 0, 0, 2, 2, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Netflix said “Subscriber” on 3 of 6 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 17, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=6, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 85¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Netflix
Subscriber
- Probability
- 72% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…Greg. But we see titles across Latin America, EMEA, APAC, driving engagement, subscriber growth, revenue, and profit. The U.S. is also working. It's just not…
…goal, and I'd say it's been the primary driver of our industry-leading subscriber reach and retention. So we are totally focused on that. We are…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…space? Could Netflix library programming be used as an on-ramp for new subscribers, or would you be open to adding third-party licensed content to compete…
…point, if you go to the U.S., and you take what Netflix subscribers are paying, they pay the least per hour of viewing compared to…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…comparison point to support that statement, in the U.S. right now, Netflix subscribers are paying the least per hour of viewing compared to other SVOD…
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Subscriber |  Polymarket | Yes | 3 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Subscriber |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Subscriber | Polymarket | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Subscriber | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Subscriber | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Subscriber | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Subscriber | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Subscriber | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Subscriber | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Netflix say “Subscriber” on its last earnings call?
- Netflix said “Subscriber” 3 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 5, 2, 0, 0, 0, 2, 2, 3 times.
- How often does Netflix say “Subscriber”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Netflix said “Subscriber” on 3 of 6 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 17, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Netflix says “Subscriber” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Netflix: ‘Subscriber’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NFLX/words/subscriber (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=netflix&word=subscriber · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=netflix&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP