Will Netflix say “Recession”?

Netflix did not say “Recession” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Netflix did not say “Recession” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 17% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

17%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Netflix

Recession

Probability
17% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 16, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 20, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 17, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 17, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Spencer WangcompanyqaIn transcript

…Oppenheimer asks, this is the first time you are potentially entering a recession with a low-cost ad plan. How do you think about consumers downgrading…

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 21, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 17, 2025RecessionPolymarketNo0
Jul 17, 2025RecessionKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Netflix say “Recession” on its last earnings call?
Netflix did not say “Recession” on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Netflix say “Recession”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Netflix did not say “Recession” on the only call with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 17, 2025.
What is the probability Netflix says “Recession” next time?
17%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers.

Cite parrot.markets, “Netflix: ‘Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NFLX/words/recession (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=netflix&word=recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=netflix&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP