Will Netflix say “Tier”?

Netflix said “Tier” 4 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 6, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Netflix said “Tier” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

78%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Netflix

Tier

Probability
78% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).

Spencer Wangcompanyqa · 32:07Hear it 32:05, Spencer Wang In transcript

…business. This is from Robert Fishman of MoffettNathanson. Ahead of launching ad tiers in 15 new countries next year, any update on the gap in…

Greg Peterscompanyqa · 32:43Hear it 32:40, Greg Peters In transcript

…of itself. That said, there's still a gap between the combined ad tier ARM and then ARM for standard without ads, but that gap is…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A).

Greg Peterscompanyqa · 18:05Hear it 18:01, Greg Peters In transcript

…you go back more than a decade, when we transitioned from one tier, one offering to a set of offerings, we've been consistently seeking to…

Greg Peterscompanyqa · 18:42Hear it 18:36, Greg Peters In transcript

…in some markets, we have to be thoughtful about cannibalization of paid tiers. We've got to ensure that we've got the right offering, the right…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 16, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 20, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Gregory PeterscompanyqaIn transcript

Yeah. So there is still a gap between the ad tier ARM for standard without ads, but that gap is narrowing. And while because there's…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 17, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 17, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 21, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 17, 2025TierKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Netflix say “Tier” on its last earnings call?
Netflix said “Tier” 4 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 6, 4 times.
How often does Netflix say “Tier”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Netflix said “Tier” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 17, 2025.
What is the probability Netflix says “Tier” next time?
78%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers.

Cite parrot.markets, “Netflix: ‘Tier’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/NFLX/words/tier (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=netflix&word=tier · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=netflix&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP